NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	79		Excitement	6.0 [601]		MVP	Chris Johnson (MIN): +22.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Comeback	1.0 [531]		LVP	Patrick Beverley (HOU): -16.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	3	62%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Delfino	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	12	37%	-0.04	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	10	32%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	18	39%	-0.05	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	4	17%	-0.06	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.10	0.00	4	94%	0.23	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	70%	0.12	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	55%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	13	42%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	32.9	13.7	30.0	2.7	31.3	137.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +36.6%

MIN +7.5%

HOU -12.0%

MIN +19.5%

HOU -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	16.6	15.4	90.8	107.0	104.1
season	14.2	15.6		107.9	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.4		103.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.5	18.0	15.4	15.9	16.7
MIN	15.9	17.1	15.9	17.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	30	30	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-16	19	16.2	17.0	-0.78	18.6	15.5	3.10
Toney Douglas	22	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-15	17	14.8	17.4	-2.54	16.4	16.6	-0.23
Marcus Morris	21	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-12	11	16.6	16.8	-0.19	16.4	16.6	-0.27
Greg Smith	47	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-14	15	15.6	18.0	-2.38	16.7	16.4	0.25
Carlos Delfino	60	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-10	7	15.6	19.1	-3.53	17.2	15.0	2.29
Patrick Patterson	36	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-7	1	18.0	15.8	2.15	16.3	16.8	-0.45
Omer Asik	28	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-3	-7	18.7	15.8	2.95	15.7	17.0	-1.23
Chandler Parsons	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-2	-9	17.3	15.6	1.68	16.6	16.5	0.12
Jeremy Lin	62	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	7	-27	16.7	16.8	-0.18	16.0	18.2	-2.26
James Harden	70	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.04	-20	7	-27	17.4	13.9	3.44	16.1	18.2	-2.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	65	67	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.08	21	-8	29	16.1	18.1	-2.07	17.1	15.4	1.70
Andrei Kirilenko	76	77	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.08	19	-6	25	16.2	19.1	-2.85	16.5	18.4	-1.91
Greg Stiemsma	37	41	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.08	20	-7	27	15.8	17.2	-1.35	17.8	15.7	2.07
Ricky Rubio	53	54	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-3	19	16.3	17.0	-0.63	18.1	14.5	3.64
Derrick Williams	52	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	1	11	15.7	17.9	-2.10	17.0	16.2	0.73
Chris Johnson	33	31	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	13	-13	18.1	15.6	2.50	15.8	17.2	-1.41
Jose Juan Barea	45	45	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	17	-21	17.2	15.9	1.34	15.5	18.0	-2.58
Mickael Gelabale	39	38	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	17	-21	17.5	15.8	1.66	15.9	17.3	-1.41
Lou Amundson	30	27	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.14	-15	28	-43	17.5	16.1	1.41	15.6	17.2	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 85, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.97,0.99,1	94.1%
DET 96, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
MIL 85, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%