NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	83		Excitement	5.4 [728]		MVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): +10.2%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	1.9 [1025]		LVP	Ryan Anderson (NOH): -21.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greivis Vasquez	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	13	72%	0.20	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.05	16	65%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.04	9	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	87%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Brian Roberts	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	11	36%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.18	-0.04	-0.00	10	17%	-0.14	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	65%	0.16	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	11	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.05	18	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.0	26.2	15.5	23.4	2.6	29.5	121.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +61.7%

NOH -12.6%

UTA +0.3%

NOH -4.7%

UTA +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	UTA	NBA	NOH	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	16.1	15.4	92.2	103.3	104.1
season	16.3	16.0		103.9	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.6		105.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.8	15.0	17.5	16.2	15.6
UTA	15.6	15.6	15.2	18.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	58	59	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.15	10	-22	32	14.6	17.4	-2.87	16.9	14.5	2.35
Eric Gordon	34	34	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-17	22	15.1	15.9	-0.85	16.5	15.8	0.75
Greivis Vasquez	70	70	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.16	7	-19	26	14.9	17.9	-3.04	16.8	13.5	3.30
Robin Lopez	67	66	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-15	18	15.1	17.1	-2.07	16.7	14.5	2.17
Roger Mason Jr.	8	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-9	6	15.2	15.6	-0.37	16.4	16.0	0.41
Al-Farouq Aminu	63	65	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-15	18	15.2	16.4	-1.17	16.5	15.0	1.44
Darius Miller	23	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-3	-6	15.7	15.6	0.14	14.6	16.6	-1.99
Lou Amundson	23	26	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	3	-18	17.1	15.1	2.07	14.5	16.7	-2.17
Brian Roberts	28	32	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.07	-18	6	-24	16.9	15.0	1.84	15.1	16.5	-1.43
Xavier Henry	33	34	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.01	-22	10	-32	17.1	14.7	2.42	14.6	16.9	-2.33
Ryan Anderson	43	43	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.04	-21	9	-30	17.0	14.3	2.70	15.2	16.8	-1.59

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	50	49	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-7	26	15.4	16.9	-1.48	16.7	14.3	2.38
DeMarre Carroll	49	48	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.01	21	-9	30	15.3	16.9	-1.60	16.4	14.6	1.82
Jamaal Tinsley	35	34	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-5	22	15.0	16.7	-1.70	16.9	14.8	2.17
Paul Millsap	75	72	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	1	10	16.3	15.1	1.22	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Alec Burks	25	26	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	-3	18	13.6	17.0	-3.32	16.2	15.3	0.90
Randy Foye	50	48	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.21	-5	17	-22	16.7	15.3	1.41	15.5	15.6	-0.10
Gordon Hayward	60	58	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	19	-26	17.1	14.0	3.10	14.6	17.3	-2.67
Al Jefferson	59	59	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	18	-24	16.3	15.5	0.79	14.8	17.2	-2.40
Mo Williams	57	56	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	17	-22	16.7	15.0	1.70	14.8	16.9	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 113, MIA 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%
IND 89, CHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.59,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
GSW 97, LAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%