inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 93 Excitement7.0 [391] MVPJeff Green (BOS): +40.8%
Boston Celtics 98 Comeback1.8 [956] LVPCharlie Villanueva (DET): -49.1%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.240.160.090.011076%0.261-0.025100%0.02
Khris Middleton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.010.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.001647%0.0200.001573%-0.02
Andre Drummond-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01653%0.032-0.0530%-0.04
Kyle Singler-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.01744%0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Kim English-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe-0.120,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12-0.06-0.040.022251%0.086-0.19367%-0.00
Brandon Knight-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.001032%-0.082-0.052100%0.02
Charlie Villanueva-0.490,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.44,-0.49-0.24-0.26-0.001712%-0.392-0.1000%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.410.410.200.230.021976%0.483-0.07771%0.00
Avery Bradley0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.02-0.00869%0.091-0.0500%0.00
Shavlik Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.020.020.02-0.000.00856%0.061-0.042100%0.01
Paul Pierce0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.011450%0.092-0.076100%0.05
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrence Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00250%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.050.02877%0.064-0.09683%0.00
Jordan Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00527%-0.011-0.031100%0.01
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.0140%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.535.315.724.22.341.6146.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +88.9%
DET -4.9%
DET -30.9%
BOS +3.0%
DET -6.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETBOSNBADETBOSNBA
this game16.914.915.4102.2108.9104.1
season15.714.9102.3101.2
opponent16.215.5101.7106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.315.418.316.616.9
BOS14.615.914.514.714.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Khris Middleton4646-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-2-114.719.2-4.5515.913.92.05
Kim English1314-0.16-0.340.17-0.02-50-515.517.1-1.6816.714.62.14
Kyle Singler4746-0.22-0.280.06-0.04-61-718.015.72.2714.115.7-1.64
Jonas Jerebko5453-0.23-0.270.04-0.385-101514.720.1-5.3115.913.52.33
Brandon Knight6967-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.363-81118.113.24.9114.715.7-1.00
Andre Drummond3737-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-105-1520.114.75.3113.515.9-2.33
Greg Monroe7474-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.363-81117.116.10.9614.715.9-1.17
Charlie Villanueva4544-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.331-6715.718.0-2.3115.514.31.20
Rodney Stuckey7069-0.640.14-0.77-0.25-138-2117.315.61.7314.516.3-1.79

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Bass69690.54-0.040.580.347-2914.715.5-0.7417.614.72.93
Paul Pierce61610.52-0.020.530.288-31114.316.1-1.7618.314.04.38
Jeff Green79810.490.010.480.3550514.915.2-0.3117.016.50.45
Avery Bradley63630.440.060.390.4405-514.515.9-1.3417.615.42.18
Jordan Crawford23230.220.28-0.070.046-1716.514.42.1615.617.4-1.79
Jason Terry42440.200.30-0.100.1714-315.914.01.9114.918.8-3.86
Shavlik Randolph26250.090.41-0.310.0132116.014.51.4814.617.8-3.17
Terrence Williams25250.080.42-0.34-0.0132115.214.80.4015.217.5-2.35
Courtney Lee2626-0.030.53-0.560.03-27-915.114.80.2915.017.7-2.72
Chris Wilcox3638-0.050.55-0.610.12-611-1713.715.7-2.0719.215.33.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 78, ATL 850.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.98,193.3%
NJN 77, CHI 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.98,192.7%
PHI 89, GSW 960.5,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.84,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,192.6%