NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	98		Excitement	5.7 [655]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIA): +17.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	100.0 [63]		LVP	Wayne Ellington (CLE): -23.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.12	-0.01	7	67%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.01	8	81%	0.17	4	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
LeBron James	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09	-0.05	0.13	-0.01	22	48%	0.17	4	-0.07	8	75%	0.04
Chris Andersen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	58%	0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Udonis Haslem	0.01	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.01	0.07	8	69%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	11	42%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	50%	0.04
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.06	6	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.07	-0.03	10	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.23	-0.23	-0.02	-0.24	-0.03	17	54%	-0.10	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	29.5	14.7	31.2	2.5	37.2	142.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +41.0%

CLE -3.1%

CLE -6.8%

MIA +17.8%

MIA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CLE	NBA	MIA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	17.8	15.4	112.6	110.5	104.1
season	15.7	15.5		110.2	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.9		107.7	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.0	15.7	13.6	18.0	15.6
CLE	17.0	17.0	20.7	16.3	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	52	51	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.41	16	-13	29	15.2	16.0	-0.80	17.9	17.5	0.46
Chris Andersen	29	28	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.13	17	-14	31	12.7	17.0	-4.24	19.4	17.0	2.37
Shane Battier	49	49	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-11	25	14.2	17.3	-3.09	17.5	18.1	-0.67
LeBron James	77	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.44	1	2	-1	15.2	18.1	-2.88	17.7	18.0	-0.28
Mario Chalmers	60	58	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.39	-2	5	-7	16.5	13.5	2.95	18.2	16.8	1.39
Dwyane Wade	68	67	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.21	-5	8	-13	16.2	13.1	3.20	17.3	19.3	-2.00
Norris Cole	14	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	2	-1	15.3	15.6	-0.32	17.0	17.9	-0.90
Udonis Haslem	24	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	12	-21	16.2	15.3	0.96	18.5	17.5	1.03
Chris Bosh	62	63	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.30	-18	21	-39	16.8	12.6	4.20	17.1	19.6	-2.47

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Zeller	42	43	0.43	-0.93	1.35	-0.40	28	-31	59	16.9	18.6	-1.71	16.0	15.1	0.84
Tristan Thompson	65	65	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.28	13	-16	29	17.6	18.1	-0.45	16.1	13.9	2.26
Wayne Ellington	74	75	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.38	12	-15	27	17.6	18.7	-1.16	15.4	16.7	-1.29
Alonzo Gee	56	58	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-4	5	17.9	17.4	0.50	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Omri Casspi	7	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	2	-7	19.4	17.6	1.82	17.9	15.3	2.51
Shaun Livingston	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.65	13	-16	29	17.0	20.2	-3.22	16.8	12.0	4.75
CJ Miles	43	43	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.58	1	-4	5	16.7	18.8	-2.12	16.8	14.3	2.45
Marreese Speights	21	21	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	15	-33	19.4	17.2	2.21	14.0	16.0	-2.05
Daniel Gibson	26	27	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.12	-26	23	-49	19.7	16.9	2.83	12.6	16.9	-4.34
Luke Walton	31	31	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	0.23	-34	31	-65	19.2	16.9	2.25	13.2	16.9	-3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.85,0.7,0.57,0.48,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.03,0.1,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 112, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.03,0	90.9%
DET 100, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.85,0.78,0.53,0.42,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.17,0	90.4%
CHA 115, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.83,0.86,0.75,0.81,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.27,0.14,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0	90.3%