NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Excitement	7.4 [344]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +19.1%
San Antonio Spurs	119		Comeback	2.1 [1086]		LVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): -17.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.00	13	59%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.00	0.03	13	78%	0.17	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.00	7	68%	0.15	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	13	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Daniel Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.06
CJ Miles	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	7	44%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.04
Tristan Thompson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	12	26%	-0.15	1	-0.03	7	29%	-0.07

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.08	0.00	19	71%	0.33	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	16	60%	0.22	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Nando De Colo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	6	92%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	3	91%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	54%	0.09	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	7	36%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	0.3	33.1	15.7	25.2	2.4	34.2	135.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +54.3%

SAS +14.5%

SAS +13.8%

CLE -23.5%

CLE -9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAS	NBA	CLE	SAS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	15.4	114.1	120.2	104.1
season	15.5	15.2		102.5	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.2		99.5	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	13.8	15.0	14.2	14.5
SAS	13.8	13.8	16.3	14.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	46	46	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.21	19	-25	44	13.6	15.3	-1.70	14.8	14.4	0.43
Daniel Gibson	30	30	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.06	7	-13	20	14.7	14.4	0.32	15.8	14.1	1.70
Wayne Ellington	44	45	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.27	11	-17	28	14.6	14.4	0.21	15.7	13.7	2.01
Marreese Speights	47	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-7	8	15.3	13.7	1.57	14.5	14.7	-0.26
CJ Miles	36	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.28	7	-13	20	15.0	14.2	0.78	15.1	14.3	0.78
Tyler Zeller	32	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	5	-16	15.4	14.0	1.38	14.4	14.7	-0.38
Tristan Thompson	64	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.21	-14	8	-22	13.7	15.8	-2.05	14.1	15.4	-1.30
Shaun Livingston	69	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	7	-20	14.4	14.7	-0.32	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Dion Waiters	63	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.18	-17	11	-28	13.8	15.7	-1.87	13.9	15.8	-1.91
Alonzo Gee	64	65	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.14	-20	14	-34	15.1	13.3	1.75	14.8	14.3	0.49

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	71	70	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.15	25	-19	44	14.0	16.1	-2.03	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Tim Duncan	72	70	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.20	20	-14	34	14.6	14.6	-0.02	14.9	13.6	1.31
Danny Green	54	54	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-4	14	14.8	14.4	0.31	13.7	15.4	-1.61
Manu Ginobili	55	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	0	6	14.1	15.3	-1.22	14.5	14.4	0.14
Cory Joseph	39	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-10	26	12.7	15.8	-3.09	14.5	14.4	0.08
Tiago Splitter	60	58	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	-10	26	13.4	16.5	-3.04	14.9	13.9	0.98
Boris Diaw	43	46	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.48	-12	18	-30	15.9	13.6	2.28	14.7	14.3	0.37
Gary Neal	5	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	9	-12	17.2	14.5	2.72	16.4	14.4	2.03
DeJuan Blair	13	15	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.09	-13	19	-32	17.4	14.2	3.19	11.8	15.0	-3.15
Nando De Colo	46	46	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.12	-17	23	-40	16.3	13.2	3.15	15.0	14.0	1.06
Stephen Jackson	37	37	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	0.13	-18	24	-42	15.3	14.2	1.13	14.1	14.7	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.75,0.94,0.97,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 84, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.54,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.99,1,1	93.2%
LAL 101, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.84,1	92.2%
SAC 102, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.69,0.73,1	91.4%