NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	9.3 [100]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOH): +104.4%
New Orleans Hornets	98		Comeback	3.0 [334]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): -31.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.41	0.03	0.38	-0.01	16	61%	0.55	4	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.40	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.39,0.39,0.57,0.47,0.4	0.19	0.20	-0.01	15	75%	0.40	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	8	58%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Will Barton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	14	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
JJ Hickson	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.02	12	54%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,1.04	1.04	0.07	0.97	-0.00	15	61%	1.09	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	4	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	14	58%	0.18	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	78%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	13	32%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.17,-0.31	-0.31	0.02	-0.30	0.03	15	67%	-0.07	5	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	2.5	27.2	15.8	26.4	1.8	31.2	125.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +19.4%

NOH +1.6%

NOH +43.9%

POR -20.1%

NOH +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOH	NBA	POR	NOH	NBA
this game	16.0	17.9	15.4	112.9	115.3	104.1
season	15.8	16.3		104.3	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		108.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.2	18.4	14.8	15.7	16.0
NOH	16.1	17.6	17.2	21.4	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	70	0.44	-0.94	1.38	-0.03	16	-18	34	15.9	16.4	-0.52	18.6	14.7	3.96
Wesley Matthews	67	66	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.48	18	-20	38	15.7	16.9	-1.19	19.2	13.7	5.47
Eric Maynor	35	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.32	-18	16	-34	17.6	14.8	2.75	15.9	19.5	-3.56
Damian Lillard	68	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-7	12	15.5	17.6	-2.12	18.3	16.4	1.95
Luke Babbitt	8	9	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	9	-20	16.5	15.9	0.60	12.3	18.6	-6.26
Will Barton	17	18	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	5	-12	17.6	15.5	2.12	16.4	18.3	-1.95
JJ Hickson	63	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.70	3	-5	8	15.6	17.1	-1.54	18.7	15.8	2.94
Nicolas Batum	71	71	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.44	-8	6	-14	15.7	17.3	-1.60	17.6	19.6	-2.05
Jared Jeffries	27	25	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.52	-8	6	-14	16.2	15.8	0.34	16.7	18.4	-1.71

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	76	74	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.70	5	-3	8	17.8	18.9	-1.07	16.4	12.6	3.81
Darius Miller	40	39	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-9	20	17.7	18.1	-0.39	16.8	15.2	1.60
Ryan Anderson	58	59	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-4	10	18.1	17.6	0.55	16.3	15.2	1.10
Lance Thomas	19	20	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-12	26	15.2	18.7	-3.50	16.4	15.8	0.65
Roger Mason Jr.	35	37	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	-11	24	17.2	18.4	-1.19	16.5	15.6	0.90
Anthony Davis	59	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.47	-7	9	-16	18.4	16.8	1.56	15.5	16.9	-1.43
Greivis Vasquez	66	65	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.51	-12	14	-26	18.6	15.6	3.03	15.3	18.0	-2.74
Robin Lopez	34	34	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	11	-20	18.3	17.7	0.66	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Al-Farouq Aminu	38	39	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	-0.20	-11	13	-24	17.8	18.0	-0.16	15.1	16.7	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.5,0.51,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.55,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 84, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.67,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.6,0.61,0.78,0.45,0.1,1	91.1%
LAC 106, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.54,0.55,0.58,1	90.7%
LAC 80, DEN 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.58,1	89.9%