NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	85		Excitement	3.3 [1163]		MVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): +11.4%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	2.1 [800]		LVP	Luol Deng (CHI): -13.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	16	59%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	64%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyshawn Taylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	12	48%	-0.01	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.03	4	-0.08	3	33%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	10	55%	-0.00	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.03	13	78%	0.16	5	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.01	-0.05	9	60%	0.10	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	7	68%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.01	-0.06	16	59%	0.07	4	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	10	36%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.7	27.2	15.5	28.4	2.5	30.4	132.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +30.7%

CHI +6.3%

BKN -2.3%

CHI +16.2%

BKN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHI	NBA	BKN	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.6	15.4	92.4	103.2	104.1
season	16.5	16.6		106.5	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.3	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.8	15.2	17.9	14.6	15.6
CHI	15.8	15.4	15.7	15.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyshawn Taylor	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	8.2	15.9	-7.64	11.8	15.8	-4.00
Mirza Teletovic	19	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-14	17	15.5	15.6	-0.10	14.9	15.8	-0.87
Kris Humphries	5	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-8	5	12.2	15.7	-3.55	11.8	15.8	-4.00
MarShon Brooks	18	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-12	13	13.2	16.1	-2.90	15.7	15.5	0.20
Gerald Wallace	62	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-13	15	15.5	15.8	-0.32	16.3	13.9	2.45
Andray Blatche	45	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-12	13	15.1	16.0	-0.82	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Joe Johnson	69	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-8	5	16.2	13.5	2.71	16.3	13.4	2.85
Reggie Evans	33	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	0	-11	16.8	14.8	2.02	15.9	15.4	0.52
Keith Bogans	30	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	3	-17	16.7	15.0	1.75	14.9	15.9	-0.93
Brook Lopez	66	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	15.7	15.1	0.61	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Deron Williams	69	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	1	-13	15.7	15.2	0.51	15.4	16.1	-0.73
CJ Watson	40	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	2	-15	14.8	16.1	-1.33	14.8	16.1	-1.26

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	77	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-4	19	15.3	16.7	-1.41	15.4	16.1	-0.62
Jimmy Butler	43	44	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-7	25	15.5	15.7	-0.17	16.2	14.9	1.33
Nate Robinson	35	38	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	-6	23	15.3	15.7	-0.38	15.8	15.4	0.40
Joakim Noah	80	79	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	7	-3	15.4	16.6	-1.20	15.7	14.9	0.74
Carlos Boozer	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	4	3	15.4	16.0	-0.68	15.0	16.5	-1.50
Luol Deng	86	84	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	12	-13	15.9	11.9	4.03	15.5	16.6	-1.17
Marco Belinelli	59	57	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.36	-10	21	-31	15.7	15.3	0.41	16.0	14.8	1.17
Nazr Mohammed	8	8	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	6	-1	16.2	15.5	0.73	15.6	15.5	0.08
Daequan Cook	15	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	11	-11	16.8	15.3	1.45	13.9	15.9	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, OKC 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.8,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
POR 78, BOS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MIN 85, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%