NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	95		Excitement	5.5 [701]		MVP	John Salmons (SAC): +12.0%
New Orleans Hornets	110		Comeback	1.3 [1116]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -13.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	14	64%	0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	75%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.02	14	52%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.03	11	73%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Tyreke Evans	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	0.06	16	35%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.03	14	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.02	7	81%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	11	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.04	0.08	12	68%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	13	55%	0.13	5	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	12	46%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	27.5	15.6	23.2	2.6	25.3	120.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +25.6%

NOH +6.2%

NOH +3.8%

NOH +10.0%

NOH +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOH	NBA	SAC	NOH	NBA
this game	15.7	16.6	15.4	106.7	123.6	104.1
season	15.0	16.3		104.7	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.2		108.1	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.2	16.0	17.1	15.9	15.7
NOH	16.5	16.0	15.6	18.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmer Fredette	16	17	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-18	21	16.1	15.7	0.39	17.0	16.5	0.47
Patrick Patterson	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	12.5	15.9	-3.39	15.4	16.7	-1.29
Marcus Thornton	56	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-13	11	14.8	17.3	-2.48	18.4	13.9	4.46
Jason Thompson	55	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-12	9	16.2	15.0	1.25	16.4	17.0	-0.61
DeMarcus Cousins	70	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-7	-1	16.2	14.2	2.01	15.6	20.0	-4.43
Charles Hayes	22	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-9	3	15.0	16.0	-0.99	17.3	16.4	0.98
John Salmons	69	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-6	-3	16.3	13.8	2.44	15.5	20.6	-5.14
James Johnson	27	27	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	0	-15	14.7	16.2	-1.44	19.9	15.2	4.64
Isaiah Thomas	63	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	-1	-13	15.9	15.4	0.50	16.3	17.3	-0.97
Tyreke Evans	63	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.07	-23	8	-31	15.7	15.8	-0.04	16.3	17.5	-1.15

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	1	13	16.0	19.1	-3.06	16.1	14.3	1.83
Jason Smith	26	28	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	5	5	19.9	15.3	4.61	15.1	16.0	-0.87
Austin Rivers	38	40	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	6	3	19.2	14.7	4.43	14.4	16.8	-2.44
Ryan Anderson	42	43	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	0	15	19.1	14.4	4.74	14.8	16.6	-1.75
Roger Mason Jr.	30	28	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.20	16	-1	17	17.9	16.0	1.93	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Al-Farouq Aminu	58	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	11	-7	15.7	18.4	-2.76	16.4	14.4	2.02
Anthony Davis	54	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.23	14	1	13	15.0	19.1	-4.07	16.7	14.3	2.41
Eric Gordon	56	55	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.20	12	3	9	14.9	19.5	-4.60	16.7	14.2	2.49
Robin Lopez	51	50	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	14	-13	14.9	18.9	-4.07	16.6	14.7	1.87
Brian Roberts	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	20	-25	19.9	16.1	3.87	13.7	16.1	-2.40
Lance Thomas	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	17.0	16.6	0.39	6.5	16.0	-9.45
Darius Miller	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	17.0	16.6	0.39	6.5	16.0	-9.45
Xavier Henry	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	17.0	16.6	0.39	6.5	16.0	-9.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.88,0.84,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
WAS 86, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.93,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
OKC 74, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%