NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	3.6 [1101]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (IND): +7.1%
Detroit Pistons	72		Comeback	1.2 [978]		LVP	Greg Monroe (DET): -19.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David West	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	14	50%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
George Hill	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.01	0.08	10	81%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Roy Hibbert	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	6	62%	0.09	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Paul George	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	14	40%	-0.02	5	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Danny Granger	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	10	10%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	14	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kim English	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.06	7	76%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	8	52%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	11	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.19	-0.02	-0.01	16	31%	-0.11	5	-0.09	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	30.5	17.7	27.3	2.0	50.0	152.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.2%

IND +4.2%

IND +7.3%

IND +3.1%

IND +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	16.4	14.6	15.4	97.8	76.6	104.1
season	16.1	15.7		102.4	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.6	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.6	15.7	19.1	17.6	16.4
DET	15.1	13.1	16.1	14.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	81	82	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.06	24	-6	30	16.2	17.5	-1.24	14.8	13.2	1.58
Lance Stephenson	48	49	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.18	24	-6	30	15.8	17.0	-1.19	14.7	14.6	0.14
George Hill	57	59	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.20	23	-5	28	16.0	16.9	-0.85	14.6	14.7	-0.18
David West	57	60	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.14	21	-3	24	15.8	17.3	-1.45	14.8	14.2	0.61
Roy Hibbert	39	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	9	0	14.7	17.5	-2.80	15.0	14.3	0.67
Ian Mahinmi	53	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	9	0	17.5	14.7	2.80	14.3	15.0	-0.67
Tyler Hansbrough	35	34	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	21	-24	17.3	15.8	1.45	14.2	14.8	-0.61
D.J. Augustin	35	35	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	23	-28	16.9	16.0	0.85	14.7	14.6	0.18
Danny Granger	35	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	18	-18	16.5	16.3	0.16	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Orlando Johnson	20	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.21	-12	30	-42	18.1	15.9	2.29	14.2	14.7	-0.54

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kim English	18	18	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-22	26	12.2	15.2	-2.98	16.6	16.3	0.24
Charlie Villanueva	48	50	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-18	18	13.8	15.5	-1.62	16.7	16.0	0.75
Khris Middleton	50	51	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-17	16	13.6	15.7	-2.11	16.7	15.9	0.78
Viacheslav Kravtsov	27	28	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	0.12	-6	-12	6	13.9	14.9	-1.04	17.0	16.1	0.92
Will Bynum	31	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-9	0	13.9	15.0	-1.13	15.3	16.9	-1.56
Jose Calderon	63	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-9	0	15.0	13.9	1.13	16.9	15.3	1.56
Greg Monroe	67	64	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-6	-6	14.9	13.9	1.04	16.1	17.0	-0.92
Jason Maxiell	46	42	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.02	-18	0	-18	15.5	13.8	1.62	16.0	16.7	-0.75
Kyle Singler	56	53	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	0.04	-19	1	-20	15.6	13.2	2.47	16.2	16.5	-0.31
Rodney Stuckey	64	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.05	-20	2	-22	15.2	13.4	1.80	16.1	16.8	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
MIA 94, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
MIL 92, NJN 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0	95.3%