NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	100		Excitement	6.7 [446]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +43.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	2.3 [559]		LVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): -16.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	5	90%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.16	0.02	0.10	8	106%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
Austin Rivers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	7	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Robin Lopez	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.04	9	62%	0.05	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.04
Ryan Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.11	-0.00	0.01	11	32%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	13	46%	-0.04	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.15	0.29	0.01	22	69%	0.53	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.04
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	73%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	8	32%	-0.11	2	-0.06	12	42%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.0	30.1	15.8	28.0	2.7	38.6	140.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +34.4%

NOH -10.5%

CLE +10.4%

CLE +15.1%

CLE +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CLE	NBA	NOH	CLE	NBA
this game	17.3	15.7	15.4	114.9	119.3	104.1
season	16.3	15.5		103.9	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.6		107.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.0	19.0	18.0	16.1	17.3
CLE	16.0	16.1	14.7	15.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	40	40	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.11	3	-8	11	17.7	16.9	0.76	16.5	15.0	1.50
Xavier Henry	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-1	-3	20.1	16.9	3.24	16.6	15.5	1.12
Ryan Anderson	51	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.38	9	-14	23	16.4	18.6	-2.20	16.5	14.5	1.93
Brian Roberts	21	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-3	1	18.7	16.8	1.91	12.9	16.5	-3.51
Roger Mason Jr.	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-10	15	16.9	17.5	-0.60	16.8	14.9	1.89
Anthony Davis	55	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-1	-3	16.7	18.3	-1.66	14.0	18.5	-4.52
Austin Rivers	59	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	1	-7	16.5	18.9	-2.40	13.9	19.2	-5.24
Al-Farouq Aminu	64	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-4	3	17.2	17.3	-0.05	16.6	12.8	3.79
Greivis Vasquez	69	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	2	-9	17.2	17.4	-0.16	16.3	13.2	3.08
Robin Lopez	28	30	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.28	-18	13	-31	19.5	16.2	3.35	16.3	15.3	0.97

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	55	55	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.47	10	-5	15	14.7	17.3	-2.68	16.6	18.4	-1.86
Kyrie Irving	71	69	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.46	2	3	-1	15.2	17.5	-2.25	16.0	22.2	-6.25
Tristan Thompson	64	63	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.45	2	3	-1	15.2	16.7	-1.50	16.1	20.2	-4.07
Luke Walton	29	29	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-6	17	16.5	15.2	1.28	19.9	15.9	4.00
Wayne Ellington	43	42	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	6	-7	16.4	14.9	1.53	17.7	16.8	0.92
Tyler Zeller	40	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	-1	7	15.1	16.1	-1.03	19.0	15.9	3.13
Alonzo Gee	54	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	7	-9	15.1	16.6	-1.51	15.9	19.4	-3.43
Shaun Livingston	23	22	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.12	6	-1	7	17.2	15.1	2.11	19.3	16.6	2.75
CJ Miles	30	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.16	1	4	-3	16.3	15.3	1.02	18.6	16.5	2.15
Marreese Speights	31	32	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.12	-10	15	-25	17.3	14.8	2.57	17.7	17.0	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.64,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.69,0.95,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 94, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.71,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.79,0.89,1,1	92.6%
CHI 88, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.98,1,1	92.4%
DEN 114, PHX 123	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.5,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.55,0.85,0.93,0.98,1	92.1%