NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	3.2 [1172]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (LAC): +13.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	106		Comeback	1.2 [1251]		LVP	Carlos Delfino (HOU): -5.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donatas Motiejunas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	65%	0.04	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
James Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.04	7	74%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	11	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	12	47%	0.04	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	6	42%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	16	47%	0.03	5	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.00	0.04	9	90%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.00	-0.03	15	63%	0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	10	65%	0.08	2	-0.03	11	73%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.04	8	48%	0.06	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	57%	0.05	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.8	31.5	16.5	30.3	2.4	26.6	137.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +38.7%

HOU -0.3%

LAC +0.8%

LAC +6.0%

LAC +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	12.9	16.6	15.4	99.0	108.2	104.1
season	14.2	15.6		107.9	109.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		102.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.7	11.0	14.1	12.1	12.9
LAC	14.1	16.7	15.8	20.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donatas Motiejunas	30	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.29	9	-19	28	12.9	13.0	-0.10	19.2	15.5	3.68
Cole Aldrich	3	3	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-7	4	12.3	13.0	-0.62	15.0	16.6	-1.63
Carlos Delfino	50	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-7	4	12.9	13.0	-0.04	15.9	17.3	-1.34
Patrick Beverley	48	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-12	14	12.6	13.2	-0.58	17.2	16.0	1.27
Marcus Morris	58	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-6	2	13.3	12.5	0.80	16.8	16.3	0.48
Patrick Patterson	50	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	12.3	13.6	-1.36	16.3	17.0	-0.69
James Anderson	49	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-5	0	13.1	12.8	0.25	16.3	16.9	-0.59
Omer Asik	52	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	6	-22	13.5	12.3	1.17	15.4	18.0	-2.66
Jeremy Lin	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.06	-14	4	-18	13.1	12.6	0.42	17.1	15.3	1.81
Chandler Parsons	76	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	0	-10	12.8	13.4	-0.57	16.3	17.6	-1.26

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	68	65	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.20	25	-15	40	15.8	18.3	-2.43	13.5	11.8	1.73
Caron Butler	62	61	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-10	30	15.2	18.9	-3.73	13.0	12.8	0.17
DeAndre Jordan	47	44	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.19	22	-12	34	15.0	18.0	-2.96	13.5	12.5	0.95
Chris Paul	64	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-7	24	15.5	18.6	-3.03	13.3	12.1	1.21
Jamal Crawford	55	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	7	-4	16.7	16.4	0.33	13.2	12.5	0.69
Chauncey Billups	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	3	4	16.4	16.7	-0.33	12.3	13.4	-1.10
Eric Bledsoe	34	33	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.27	-7	17	-24	18.6	15.5	3.03	11.8	13.5	-1.65
Lamar Odom	49	50	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.28	-8	18	-26	17.9	15.3	2.55	13.1	12.8	0.25
Matt Barnes	36	36	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	20	-30	18.9	15.2	3.73	12.8	13.0	-0.17
Ronny Turiaf	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	21.5	16.5	5.02	3.5	13.1	-9.64
Ryan Hollins	30	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.41	-15	25	-40	18.3	15.8	2.43	12.1	13.3	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, HOU 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1	97.1%
SEA 81, SAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
TOR 87, NJN 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%