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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 105 Excitement9.2 [114] MVPJose Calderon (DET): +20.5%
Milwaukee Bucks 100 Comeback3.8 [118] LVPBrandon Knight (DET): -18.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Calderon0.200,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.20.150.080.021388%0.333-0.1300%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.190.060.10-0.021369%0.423-0.2300%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.170.070.110.01973%0.253-0.088100%0.07
Will Bynum-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.00860%0.052-0.064100%0.06
Jason Maxiell-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.00450%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Greg Monroe-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.001252%0.084-0.12367%-0.00
Kyle Singler-0.050,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.010.031146%-0.021-0.03250%-0.03
Viacheslav Kravtsov-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0000%-0.022-0.0420%-0.03
Brandon Knight-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.15-0.06-0.031315%-0.141-0.0500%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.160.16-0.000.15-0.021058%0.233-0.074100%0.04
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.130.010.02879%0.1200.003100%0.02
John Henson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.00558%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.01955%0.082-0.06250%-0.01
Ekpe Udoh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.030.00450%0.001-0.04683%0.02
Brandon Jennings0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.022743%0.013-0.066100%0.08
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.06-0.120.00759%-0.0600.003100%0.04
Monta Ellis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.07-0.01940%-0.013-0.132100%0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.10-0.08-0.00714%-0.131-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.52.527.216.625.21.837.3132.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +92.3%
MIL -21.8%
DET +17.7%
MIL -37.4%
MIL -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game14.713.815.4104.099.0104.1
season15.714.7102.3101.6
opponent15.315.5103.9106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET11.714.817.715.114.7
MIL15.014.012.313.713.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Calderon74740.66-0.160.820.2215-102514.714.9-0.2113.714.1-0.45
Greg Monroe74740.65-0.150.790.2912-71914.814.60.1913.614.3-0.70
Charlie Villanueva54530.63-0.130.760.5141315.114.30.7713.614.0-0.42
Rodney Stuckey57570.55-0.050.610.4732114.814.70.0913.214.5-1.31
Will Bynum59580.480.020.450.4805-515.413.71.7013.614.1-0.54
Brandon Knight5555-0.060.56-0.63-0.0605-513.815.8-2.0114.013.60.40
Viacheslav Kravtsov88-0.070.57-0.640.02-38-1114.214.8-0.5215.413.61.73
Kyle Singler5859-0.130.63-0.75-0.04-38-1114.914.50.4314.512.71.83
Jason Maxiell3940-0.430.93-1.35-0.01-1419-3316.413.72.6513.214.1-0.88

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ekpe Udoh29320.07-0.570.63-0.023-81113.813.80.0614.814.70.16
John Henson13140.06-0.560.62-0.064-91313.513.8-0.2814.814.70.06
Beno Udrih4244-0.08-0.420.35-0.101-6714.013.60.3313.815.4-1.58
Luc Mbah a Moute6156-0.19-0.310.120.07-94-1314.412.81.5414.714.8-0.12
Mike Dunleavy5357-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.464-91313.614.0-0.4214.614.9-0.35
Monta Ellis7978-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.34-3-2-113.415.0-1.5615.612.03.59
Brandon Jennings8180-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.26-83-1114.012.81.1614.415.9-1.48
Ersan Ilyasova7575-0.520.02-0.55-0.26-94-1313.514.7-1.2314.914.30.57
Samuel Dalembert7269-0.570.07-0.63-0.33-83-1113.813.8-0.0614.714.8-0.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.79,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.4,0.31,0.62,0.55,0.43,0.41,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 81, CLE 780.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.46,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.59,091.4%
IND 104, NJN 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.38,0.21,0.33,0.26,090.8%
NOK 99, MIN 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.42,089.9%