inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 98 Excitement3.7 [1084] MVPHarrison Barnes (GSW): +10.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder 119 Comeback1.3 [1246] LVPStephen Curry (GSW): -17.4%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0.110,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.170.000.06986%0.1100.00475%-0.00
Richard Jefferson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.000.034100%0.061-0.021100%0.00
Andris Biedrins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02861%0.043-0.032100%0.01
Charles Jenkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04217%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jeremy Tyler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Draymond Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0120%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Festus Ezeli-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.05-0.000.081659%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Carl Landry-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.031333%-0.032-0.021100%0.00
David Lee-0.090,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.021340%-0.014-0.08450%-0.02
Stephen Curry-0.170,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.20-0.01-0.042033%-0.056-0.122100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.11-0.000.031075%0.0800.0000%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.011662%0.113-0.052100%0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.011862%0.125-0.09475%-0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.04580%0.0300.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.011948%0.062-0.03875%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.05767%0.0200.004100%0.00
Eric Maynor00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeAndre Liggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.0020%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02837%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00650%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.834.014.822.11.725.2123.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +26.5%
OKC +5.3%
OKC +6.3%
OKC +12.8%
GSW -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWOKCNBAGSWOKCNBA
this game14.012.915.491.6111.2104.1
season14.614.8104.6109.3
opponent15.515.3100.6103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.912.513.515.214.0
OKC12.212.314.213.012.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Tyler9100.00-0.500.50-0.031-222314.014.00.0111.513.1-1.57
Charles Jenkins1920-0.04-0.460.420.05-3-181513.914.0-0.1210.113.6-3.47
Andris Biedrins2626-0.08-0.420.33-0.03-2-191714.413.90.5713.812.61.22
Festus Ezeli2727-0.14-0.360.230.04-6-15914.913.71.2012.413.1-0.69
Kent Bazemore3636-0.18-0.320.130.14-11-10-114.213.90.3511.713.5-1.81
Harrison Barnes6564-0.19-0.310.13-0.10-3-181513.414.8-1.3913.212.50.77
Stephen Curry8180-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.03-8-13513.814.7-0.9313.511.32.23
Richard Jefferson2525-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-14-7-715.013.71.3712.213.2-1.00
Klay Thompson7575-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.01-10-11113.614.8-1.2213.611.42.12
Draymond Green3738-0.33-0.17-0.150.17-17-4-1314.713.61.0912.013.4-1.48
David Lee7574-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-14-7-713.714.6-0.8213.611.32.35
Carl Landry6060-0.36-0.14-0.230.16-18-3-1514.113.90.1712.813.1-0.25

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Collison51500.440.060.38-0.2724-32712.613.2-0.5314.713.41.33
Thabo Sefolosha64670.400.100.30-0.2422-12313.312.31.0014.613.01.58
Kevin Martin59580.370.130.24-0.222011912.913.0-0.1414.313.70.59
Serge Ibaka72720.340.160.18-0.131651112.613.5-0.8814.213.50.67
Reggie Jackson44430.280.220.07-0.191651112.313.4-1.0714.014.00.05
Russell Westbrook66670.240.26-0.030.12417-1313.112.60.5513.714.5-0.81
Kevin Durant71710.230.27-0.050.17219-1713.012.70.2613.215.5-2.32
Hasheem Thabeet24240.140.36-0.22-0.06714-713.512.80.6914.014.0-0.04
Kendrick Perkins50510.060.44-0.380.18-425-2913.412.50.8913.514.5-0.99
Perry Jones14140.000.50-0.500.00021-2113.812.80.9913.614.0-0.40
Eric Maynor1090.000.50-0.500.03-122-2311.513.1-1.5714.014.00.01
DeAndre Liggins1090.000.50-0.500.03-122-2311.513.1-1.5714.014.00.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 64, SAS 850.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
NYK 95, PHX 1130.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,196.4%
IND 91, CHI 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,196.3%