NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	93		Excitement	8.7 [167]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (BKN): +27.7%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	5.0 [187]		LVP	Charlie Villanueva (DET): -16.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28	0.11	0.18	0.01	7	78%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.08
Brook Lopez	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	14	57%	0.22	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.04
MarShon Brooks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	15	47%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Keith Bogans	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	64%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	59%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.06	6	-0.17	4	100%	0.05
Andray Blatche	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	9	35%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Mirza Teletovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	16	61%	0.22	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.10
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.06	-0.01	7	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Andre Drummond	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	57%	0.05	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.05
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	46%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	7	57%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	8	12%	-0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	30.2	16.6	24.2	2.5	39.8	141.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +27.5%

BKN +21.2%

BKN +4.1%

DET -0.7%

DET -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DET	NBA	BKN	DET	NBA
this game	17.1	14.9	15.4	103.3	100.0	104.1
season	16.5	15.7		106.5	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		106.6	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.8	17.5	18.0	17.1	17.1
DET	14.8	13.8	15.6	15.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	56	55	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	-1	5	16.6	17.9	-1.31	14.3	16.0	-1.70
Gerald Wallace	48	50	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	0	3	17.7	16.4	1.33	15.5	14.2	1.23
Deron Williams	67	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	0	3	16.7	18.2	-1.49	14.8	15.4	-0.62
Joe Johnson	64	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	2	-1	17.6	15.8	1.77	15.1	14.6	0.42
Brook Lopez	57	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.38	-4	7	-11	17.3	16.6	0.68	15.1	14.6	0.52
MarShon Brooks	26	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	1	1	15.8	17.6	-1.77	14.6	15.1	-0.42
Andray Blatche	32	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	-4	11	17.1	17.1	0.04	14.8	15.0	-0.19
Mirza Teletovic	8	7	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	0	3	17.0	17.1	-0.07	18.3	14.7	3.64
CJ Watson	23	23	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	3	-3	18.2	16.7	1.49	15.4	14.8	0.62
Reggie Evans	56	57	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	16.7	17.6	-0.93	14.9	15.0	-0.15
Kris Humphries	13	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	17.3	17.0	0.28	13.4	15.2	-1.75

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	34	35	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.00	6	-9	15	16.0	14.3	1.71	18.7	16.0	2.65
Andre Drummond	11	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-1	-1	15.1	14.9	0.18	13.0	17.6	-4.58
Will Bynum	39	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-7	11	13.5	16.0	-2.46	17.6	16.7	0.84
Charlie Villanueva	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-1	-1	13.9	15.5	-1.62	17.1	17.1	-0.00
Brandon Knight	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	0	-3	15.5	14.3	1.16	17.7	16.3	1.42
Kyle Singler	62	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-5	7	15.5	13.6	1.87	17.5	16.1	1.47
Greg Monroe	65	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.41	5	-8	13	15.0	14.6	0.41	17.0	17.2	-0.13
Viacheslav Kravtsov	20	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	8	-19	14.8	15.0	-0.17	16.3	17.3	-1.02
Jonas Jerebko	37	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-3	3	14.1	15.5	-1.40	16.9	17.2	-0.30
Rodney Stuckey	46	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	4	-11	14.8	15.1	-0.26	16.2	18.0	-1.87
Jose Calderon	58	58	-0.65	0.14	-0.79	-0.44	-7	4	-11	15.3	14.3	0.91	16.6	17.9	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.06,0.08,0	91.7%
DET 84, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.08,0	91.4%
POR 108, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.15,0.14,0.01,0	91.1%