NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	5.3 [747]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +14.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.0 [593]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -16.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.02	17	64%	0.18	2	-0.03	5	20%	-0.11
Wesley Matthews	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	11	85%	0.19	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.04
Damian Lillard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	17	57%	0.13	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Victor Claver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.08	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	7	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.06	0.04	13	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	0.12	-0.03	0.10	17	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	11	52%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	8%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	10	36%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.12	0.02	9	58%	-0.06	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	3.3	26.9	15.7	26.0	2.8	33.0	129.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +74.6%

MIN -9.7%

POR +6.8%

MIN -26.0%

POR +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.8	15.4	106.4	103.2	104.1
season	15.8	15.6		104.3	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.3		103.4	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.7	15.9	13.9	17.2	15.6
MIN	15.0	16.1	14.9	13.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	77	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-10	22	15.6	15.8	-0.14	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Victor Claver	33	33	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.03	20	-18	38	14.6	16.2	-1.56	16.0	14.2	1.84
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-2	6	15.2	17.6	-2.43	14.7	15.7	-1.03
JJ Hickson	72	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	-2	6	15.5	16.0	-0.46	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Damian Lillard	76	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.51	-8	10	-18	15.9	14.4	1.56	14.4	16.5	-2.17
Nolan Smith	18	21	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	-8	18	14.4	15.9	-1.56	16.5	14.4	2.17
Luke Babbitt	27	26	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.29	-6	8	-14	16.5	15.3	1.22	15.4	14.6	0.81
Meyers Leonard	13	13	0.06	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	0	2	17.2	15.4	1.75	15.0	14.8	0.20
Nicolas Batum	67	69	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.61	-23	25	-48	16.4	13.9	2.47	14.4	15.9	-1.45
Will Barton	11	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	7	-12	14.5	15.8	-1.25	15.0	14.8	0.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Stiemsma	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-8	14	16.2	14.4	1.83	16.8	15.3	1.53
Mickael Gelabale	36	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	1	-4	14.8	14.8	0.00	15.6	15.7	-0.07
Derrick Williams	38	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	4	-10	15.0	14.7	0.24	15.2	16.0	-0.82
Andrei Kirilenko	28	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	7	-16	15.8	14.4	1.40	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Alexey Shved	54	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.40	6	-8	14	14.5	15.2	-0.73	16.0	15.3	0.68
Jose Juan Barea	54	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.40	6	-8	14	14.5	15.2	-0.73	16.0	15.3	0.68
Ricky Rubio	65	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.55	9	-11	20	14.6	15.3	-0.73	16.0	14.9	1.03
Dante Cunningham	57	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.42	4	-6	10	14.7	15.0	-0.24	16.0	15.2	0.82
Luke Ridnour	48	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	13	-28	15.3	14.4	0.89	14.7	16.7	-2.04
Nikola Pekovic	72	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	6	-14	14.4	16.2	-1.83	15.3	16.8	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, CHH 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
SAC 98, MIL 73	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
SAS 109, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%