NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Excitement	8.7 [160]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +60.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Comeback	4.3 [47]		LVP	Dion Waiters (CLE): -15.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.29,0.3	0.06	0.25	0.01	21	54%	0.38	3	-0.08	17	76%	0.04
Russell Westbrook	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.25,0.17,0.26,0.26	0.10	0.16	-0.01	22	57%	0.29	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.02	13	58%	0.15	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	12	64%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.3,0.45,0.61	0.61	0.17	0.43	0.00	23	65%	0.63	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.08
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.00	7	100%	0.33	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.15	0.00	15	68%	0.30	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.02
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	55%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	13	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	13	40%	-0.04	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	29.5	15.4	22.5	2.3	31.3	130.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.7%

CLE +6.0%

CLE +2.6%

CLE +12.7%

CLE +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CLE	NBA	OKC	CLE	NBA
this game	14.0	14.9	15.4	111.1	115.0	104.1
season	14.8	15.5		109.3	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		107.7	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.6	13.8	15.5	14.2	14.0
CLE	15.0	14.4	13.9	16.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	64	64	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.26	9	-14	23	13.3	15.4	-2.13	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Perry Jones	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-5	5	15.2	13.9	1.31	13.8	15.1	-1.24
Russell Westbrook	71	75	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-11	17	13.5	15.4	-1.96	15.3	13.6	1.71
DeAndre Liggins	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-2	-1	12.8	14.1	-1.29	12.6	15.0	-2.44
Thabo Sefolosha	53	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-5	5	13.2	14.9	-1.67	14.2	15.7	-1.56
Nick Collison	43	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	1	-7	15.7	12.7	2.92	15.6	14.3	1.28
Kevin Durant	76	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-5	5	13.6	15.3	-1.62	15.0	14.8	0.18
Hasheem Thabeet	20	21	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	2	-9	16.5	13.4	3.17	15.3	14.8	0.46
Serge Ibaka	66	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-2	-1	13.0	16.1	-3.06	14.5	15.6	-1.09
Kevin Martin	63	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	1	-7	14.8	12.7	2.04	15.1	14.5	0.58
Reggie Jackson	23	21	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	10	-25	16.2	13.4	2.81	15.0	14.9	0.16

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	69	66	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-3	11	15.5	13.7	1.75	14.2	13.8	0.39
Tristan Thompson	82	81	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	3	-1	14.8	15.6	-0.84	13.6	15.7	-2.08
Dion Waiters	69	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	0	5	14.3	16.3	-1.99	13.3	15.8	-2.51
Alonzo Gee	63	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	3	-1	14.5	15.7	-1.20	13.1	15.7	-2.58
Kyrie Irving	75	75	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	3	-1	14.7	15.7	-1.07	13.1	17.0	-3.93
Shaun Livingston	36	33	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	1	3	15.2	14.8	0.43	15.7	13.2	2.47
CJ Miles	28	27	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	3	-1	16.3	14.4	1.90	16.6	13.1	3.54
Wayne Ellington	29	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	5	-5	16.4	14.3	2.06	16.0	13.2	2.85
Tyler Zeller	49	51	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	5	-5	14.4	15.4	-1.00	14.5	13.6	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.71,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.78,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 81, MIL 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.83,1	90.7%
SAC 107, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.57,0.74,1	90.5%
BOS 87, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.52,0.31,0.63,0.94,0.84,1	90.4%