NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	82		Excitement	7.4 [339]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +21.5%
Chicago Bulls	85		Comeback	13.3 [205]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): -26.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Singler	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	7	80%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1	-0.03	0.12	-0.00	6	50%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	57%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Austin Daye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	13	31%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Rodney Stuckey	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.14,-0.25,-0.27	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	16	32%	-0.16	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.18	-0.00	14	53%	0.23	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	0.00	7	74%	0.20	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16	0.16	-0.01	0.16	-0.01	5	45%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	61%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	8	42%	-0.04	5	-0.10	8	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.4	32.3	15.8	24.1	0.2	33.5	132.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.1%

CHI +15.7%

CHI +12.7%

DET -1.9%

CHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	18.0	17.0	15.4	100.0	102.4	104.1
season	15.7	16.6		102.3	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		102.3	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.7	14.9	17.9	23.3	18.0
CHI	18.4	16.4	16.4	16.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Daye	17	19	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-7	11	12.5	19.4	-6.84	17.0	17.0	0.05
Charlie Villanueva	10	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-2	1	13.8	18.5	-4.73	14.2	17.4	-3.27
Kyle Singler	43	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	2	-7	17.4	18.6	-1.22	15.5	18.7	-3.19
Jason Maxiell	50	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-5	7	18.9	16.4	2.53	18.3	14.9	3.40
Will Bynum	29	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	3	-9	16.8	18.6	-1.79	16.1	17.5	-1.35
Tayshaun Prince	57	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-7	11	18.8	15.9	2.92	17.4	16.0	1.48
Andre Drummond	42	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	0	-3	16.9	19.0	-2.15	15.8	18.1	-2.29
Brandon Knight	56	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.35	2	-5	7	19.1	15.5	3.65	17.7	15.5	2.21
Greg Monroe	62	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.47	-4	1	-5	18.5	16.1	2.38	17.4	15.6	1.81
Rodney Stuckey	44	44	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.50	-8	5	-13	18.7	17.0	1.72	17.1	16.8	0.37

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	37	36	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.46	13	-10	23	16.7	17.2	-0.47	18.5	17.5	1.03
Marco Belinelli	35	37	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-3	9	15.6	17.9	-2.31	18.2	17.7	0.48
Joakim Noah	77	77	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-4	11	16.9	18.3	-1.48	18.4	11.6	6.76
Jimmy Butler	80	79	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	-2	7	16.7	23.3	-6.61	18.2	11.3	6.87
Taj Gibson	42	40	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	0	3	17.0	16.9	0.17	18.9	17.0	1.95
Carlos Boozer	46	47	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	5	-7	17.4	16.4	0.96	16.4	20.0	-3.57
Nazr Mohammed	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	5	-7	2.0	17.1	-15.15	0.0	18.0	-17.95
Richard Hamilton	38	36	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.07	-5	8	-13	17.5	16.5	1.04	17.9	18.0	-0.11
Kirk Hinrich	59	59	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.08	-10	13	-23	17.9	14.7	3.17	16.9	20.5	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.45,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.95,1	90.7%
MIN 87, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.59,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.77,0.73,1	90.6%
IND 105, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.85,1	90.4%