NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Excitement	7.8 [249]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +28.1%
Dallas Mavericks	91		Comeback	9.3 [60]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -14.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	14	63%	0.10	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Cherokee Parks	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	14	52%	0.13	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Jordan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08	0.03	-0.11	-0.00	22	51%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	11	43%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tom Hammonds	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	7%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	12	17%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.28	0.28	0.07	0.21	-0.01	22	56%	0.31	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.01	15	53%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Bubba Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eric Riley	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	3	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	14	47%	-0.02	4	-0.11	6	33%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.6	24.4	16.6	24.1	1.8	34.2	125.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +54.7%

DAL +16.5%

DAL +4.3%

MIN -7.9%

MIN -17.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	16.1	15.6	95.6	100.0	102.5
season	14.8	15.8		105.3	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		104.6	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.8	15.1	17.0	16.8	15.6
DAL	14.4	17.0	15.7	17.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Roberts	29	28	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.07	7	-11	18	15.2	15.8	-0.62	17.1	15.6	1.52
Reggie Jordan	6	6	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-5	6	13.3	15.8	-2.42	21.0	15.7	5.29
Bill Curley	9	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-5	6	14.7	15.7	-1.03	11.0	16.5	-5.54
Sam Mitchell	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.40	6	-10	16	15.9	14.8	1.15	15.9	16.5	-0.62
Anthony Peeler	71	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-9	14	15.1	17.4	-2.38	16.4	14.8	1.68
Terry Porter	46	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	0	-4	15.3	15.9	-0.67	15.5	16.6	-1.13
Cherokee Parks	33	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-1	-2	16.4	15.1	1.30	17.1	15.4	1.63
Tom Hammonds	49	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	12	-28	15.7	15.5	0.17	15.2	17.0	-1.84
Kevin Garnett	75	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	2	-8	15.7	15.1	0.64	16.5	14.1	2.42
Stephon Marbury	72	73	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.45	-11	7	-18	15.9	14.3	1.68	15.6	17.9	-2.36

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	65	66	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.29	16	-12	28	15.2	18.2	-2.94	15.9	14.9	0.98
Khalid Reeves	66	66	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-3	10	16.2	15.6	0.68	15.5	16.0	-0.51
Shawn Bradley	59	60	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-15	34	15.4	17.3	-1.89	16.5	13.8	2.71
Michael Finley	90	89	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.40	6	-2	8	16.0	25.0	-9.04	15.6	15.5	0.10
A.C. Green	65	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	5	-6	16.3	15.3	0.99	14.8	17.8	-2.99
Martin Muursepp	26	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.07	5	-1	6	15.3	16.3	-0.99	17.8	14.8	2.99
Bubba Wells	9	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.04	-2	6	-8	21.0	15.5	5.49	13.9	15.8	-1.90
Eric Riley	29	30	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.28	-16	20	-36	19.0	14.7	4.37	14.0	16.4	-2.38
Erick Strickland	46	43	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.12	-14	18	-32	15.2	17.0	-1.78	15.6	15.6	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.59,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.77,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 87, VAN 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.71,0.62,0.64,0.86,0.73,1	91.4%
BOS 109, MEM 117	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.99,1,1	91.2%
SAC 98, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.85,1	91.2%