inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 99 Excitement7.4 [351] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +39.3%
Los Angeles Lakers 90 Comeback1.4 [523] LVPShane Battier (MIA): -12.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.390,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.390.250.190.052572%0.452-0.054100%0.02
Ray Allen0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.270.020.23-0.03850%0.2700.002100%0.02
Dwyane Wade0.210,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.210.100.120.012057%0.241-0.03771%-0.01
Norris Cole0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.03-0.01650%0.0500.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.01367%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Rashard Lewis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00025%-0.0300.00425%-0.07
Mario Chalmers-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01725%-0.061-0.012100%0.01
Chris Bosh-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.011032%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Shane Battier-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.04-0.080.00420%-0.1200.002100%0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Metta World Peace0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.110.110.060.03-0.011162%0.131-0.024100%0.03
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.040.00763%0.142-0.04560%-0.02
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.26,-0.18,-0.07,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.05,0.05,0.040.04-0.130.13-0.042542%0.176-0.132100%0.01
Earl Clark0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.02-0.01560%0.053-0.0600%0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.02-0.02856%0.084-0.0800%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.02-0.00767%0.133-0.144100%0.03
Darius Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.02-0.100.01748%-0.0900.001338%-0.25
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.837.218.731.33.432.4151.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +12.2%
MIA +10.1%
LAL -9.7%
MIA +31.6%
MIA +5.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIALALNBAMIALALNBA
this game15.614.915.4105.394.7104.1
season15.714.9110.2106.0
opponent15.315.9105.7102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.513.015.220.015.6
LAL13.313.216.117.914.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James82840.59-0.090.690.2113-41715.715.20.4314.517.5-2.94
Ray Allen61580.380.120.260.2454115.815.40.3615.114.40.69
Chris Bosh68700.380.120.260.1481715.615.7-0.0914.914.80.07
Rashard Lewis15150.370.130.230.0710-11115.715.60.1319.514.05.48
Dwyane Wade74750.270.230.050.2418-716.213.32.8914.815.0-0.19
Joel Anthony38370.190.31-0.130.0454116.714.91.8214.115.3-1.18
Udonis Haslem24250.120.38-0.260.0045-113.716.3-2.5815.414.60.80
Mario Chalmers44460.070.43-0.35-0.0236-314.416.7-2.2913.715.9-2.24
Shane Battier35340.070.43-0.370.18-413-1716.814.91.8214.215.2-1.01
Norris Cole29310.060.44-0.370.0609-914.316.2-1.9515.914.31.56

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Duhon26250.27-0.771.050.164-131716.014.41.5315.815.60.29
Darius Morris11110.02-0.520.540.020-9915.914.71.1911.816.1-4.31
Antawn Jamison4445-0.10-0.400.31-0.100-9913.116.4-3.2415.515.7-0.18
Dwight Howard7574-0.20-0.300.10-0.231-101114.814.9-0.1216.014.21.75
Metta World Peace7373-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.23-3-6314.515.9-1.3216.512.63.87
Earl Clark4845-0.40-0.10-0.290.02-145-1915.614.11.4313.018.0-4.96
Pau Gasol4545-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.17-112-1316.313.52.8116.315.01.27
Kobe Bryant8483-0.520.02-0.54-0.26-90-914.715.9-1.1916.111.84.31
Steve Nash6969-0.770.27-1.05-0.39-134-1714.416.0-1.5315.615.8-0.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 96, GSW 850.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.01,091.6%
POR 98, SAC 870.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.34,0.24,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.24,0.11,0.04,0,091.4%
UTA 115, SAS 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.14,0,091.0%