inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 102 Excitement5.2 [779] MVPNicolas Batum (POR): +18.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves 97 Comeback1.3 [302] LVPAlexey Shved (MIN): -19.7%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nicolas Batum0.190,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.270.010.0911104%0.211-0.023100%0.00
Wesley Matthews0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.130.17-0.010.031574%0.182-0.055100%0.01
Victor Claver0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.03383%0.0100.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0.010,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.01-0.130.09-0.052035%0.073-0.0600%0.00
Damian Lillard0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.010.05-0.07-0.031465%0.083-0.073100%0.01
Joel Freeland-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0400%0.002-0.0100%0.00
Luke Babbitt-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.050.000.06475%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ronnie Price-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.01-0.04817%-0.071-0.00250%-0.00
JJ Hickson-0.180,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18-0.14-0.06-0.021010%-0.171-0.0200%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.140.010.001468%0.1400.003100%0.01
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.011150%0.052-0.04887%0.02
Lou Amundson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Lazar Hayward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Greg Stiemsma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02425%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.000.041358%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Derrick Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.08-0.080.08-0.030.121072%-0.023-0.06580%-0.02
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.030.021338%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17-0.17-0.01-0.160.001350%-0.012-0.162100%0.00
Alexey Shved0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.20-0.01-0.01119%-0.133-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.62.423.615.524.31.735.5124.6
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +44.1%
MIN -5.4%
MIN -4.7%
POR +13.9%
POR +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORMINNBAPORMINNBA
this game17.014.515.4112.1105.4104.1
season15.815.6104.3101.3
opponent14.915.3103.4107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR16.317.318.016.617.0
MIN14.417.014.712.214.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damian Lillard74740.57-0.070.630.1016-112717.017.2-0.1915.012.42.52
Wesley Matthews69680.470.030.430.267-2917.017.1-0.0914.813.61.20
LaMarcus Aldridge72730.360.140.220.2732117.017.00.0314.016.1-2.06
Nicolas Batum73750.320.180.130.2914-317.216.40.7213.717.9-4.19
JJ Hickson55560.240.26-0.020.36-49-1317.216.70.5414.514.40.17
Jared Jeffries16150.160.34-0.18-0.026-1716.717.1-0.4117.613.93.74
Ronnie Price38390.150.35-0.200.27-49-1317.017.0-0.0414.214.6-0.41
Joel Freeland24240.130.37-0.240.0723-117.217.00.2512.515.2-2.66
Luke Babbitt15160.110.39-0.280.0232116.317.2-0.9016.214.12.08
Victor Claver1920-0.000.50-0.500.14-510-1516.717.1-0.3614.914.30.62

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lazar Hayward1111-0.16-0.340.180.05-72-917.614.03.6016.817.0-0.23
Nikola Pekovic3940-0.17-0.330.15-0.06-4-1-315.213.91.2817.916.31.57
Lou Amundson1010-0.20-0.300.100.06-94-1319.313.95.4215.817.2-1.37
Derrick Williams3635-0.22-0.280.06-0.344-91313.914.9-1.0016.417.4-1.06
Jose Juan Barea5151-0.24-0.260.01-0.488-132113.415.9-2.5016.817.3-0.59
Luke Ridnour6765-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.270-5514.315.0-0.7317.116.90.14
Andrei Kirilenko8281-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.424-91313.919.3-5.4217.215.81.37
Dante Cunningham8281-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.424-91313.919.3-5.4217.215.81.37
Greg Stiemsma2726-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-149-2316.013.82.1716.117.4-1.32
Alexey Shved5555-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.00-116-1715.113.51.6017.316.70.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.1,0.04,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 95, LAL 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.25,0.29,0.09,0.28,093.1%
TOR 74, IND 720.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.15,093.0%
BOS 93, CLE 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,092.9%