NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	5.4 [726]		MVP	Louis Williams (ATL): +11.2%
Atlanta Hawks	81		Comeback	8.9 [51]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -33.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	20	53%	0.13	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	47%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	12	58%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	16	44%	-0.00	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.19	-0.03	0.05	12	93%	0.23	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	14	57%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
John Jenkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.21,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.33,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.25	-0.12	-0.03	18	29%	-0.19	6	-0.15	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.7	31.3	15.6	27.0	2.8	32.2	133.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +14.7%

ATL -7.5%

BOS +11.6%

BOS +30.9%

BOS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	16.9	15.4	101.1	93.1	104.1
season	14.9	15.1		101.2	102.6
opponent	15.5	16.2		102.8	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.6	14.7	15.1	16.6	16.0
ATL	15.1	18.9	15.6	18.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	65	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-6	20	15.9	16.3	-0.44	17.0	16.9	0.11
Paul Pierce	67	67	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-3	14	15.6	17.2	-1.59	16.9	17.1	-0.27
Jared Sullinger	43	44	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	1	6	15.7	16.2	-0.50	17.2	16.7	0.53
Jason Terry	44	44	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	8	-8	16.8	15.2	1.64	17.5	16.3	1.17
Rajon Rondo	70	72	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.22	2	6	-4	15.4	18.1	-2.61	17.1	16.4	0.66
Avery Bradley	40	40	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	0	8	15.1	16.7	-1.65	15.5	18.2	-2.67
Courtney Lee	16	14	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	4	0	18.4	15.4	3.01	15.9	17.1	-1.21
Kevin Garnett	62	59	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	10	-12	15.9	16.3	-0.41	16.7	17.4	-0.66
Jeff Green	27	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	9	-10	16.9	15.6	1.26	18.7	16.3	2.44
Jason Collins	6	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	11	-14	20.3	15.7	4.67	16.8	17.0	-0.12

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	48	49	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-12	16	16.0	18.1	-2.01	15.9	16.0	-0.09
John Jenkins	6	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-6	4	23.5	16.5	7.04	13.8	16.1	-2.31
Anthony Tolliver	15	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-6	4	16.6	17.0	-0.41	17.9	15.6	2.32
Ivan Johnson	12	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-7	6	16.2	17.1	-0.90	18.3	15.6	2.62
Zaza Pachulia	23	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-1	-6	17.7	16.7	0.96	16.9	15.6	1.29
DeShawn Stevenson	22	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	0	-8	16.9	17.0	-0.04	15.4	16.2	-0.73
Jeff Teague	79	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	16.9	17.1	-0.20	15.7	19.3	-3.59
Al Horford	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-1	-6	17.0	16.5	0.50	15.9	16.2	-0.23
Josh Smith	79	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-2	-4	17.1	15.2	1.86	15.6	19.9	-4.29
Louis Williams	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	16.8	18.0	-1.24	16.0	15.7	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.01,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.5%
PHX 102, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.04,0	93.4%
GSW 101, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.3%