NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	97		Excitement	8.9 [138]		MVP	John Salmons (SAC): +18.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	1.4 [482]		LVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): -17.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.19	-0.03	0.22	-0.00	6	58%	0.28	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.19	0.06	0.13	0.00	10	59%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Thompson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	16	53%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Francisco Garcia	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
James Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	6	47%	0.00	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.10	0.01	17	47%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	5	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	10	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.00	19	49%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,0.1,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	18	52%	0.28	3	-0.32	6	83%	0.08
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.11	-0.03	13	41%	-0.01	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	12	35%	-0.09	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.6	26.3	15.4	24.4	1.8	33.0	130.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +27.3%

CLE -12.9%

CLE -10.1%

SAC +45.8%

SAC +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	15.7	15.4	105.4	100.0	104.1
season	15.0	15.5		104.7	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.2		107.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.4	16.1	13.4	16.1	15.2
CLE	15.9	17.3	16.0	13.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	67	66	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.47	11	-8	19	14.7	16.5	-1.77	15.6	16.0	-0.38
DeMarcus Cousins	67	69	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.40	13	-10	23	14.6	17.0	-2.49	15.6	16.0	-0.42
John Salmons	64	63	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-7	17	14.5	17.0	-2.55	15.9	15.4	0.47
Aaron Brooks	54	55	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	2	-1	15.8	14.5	1.29	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Jason Thompson	70	72	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	-1	5	15.1	15.7	-0.66	15.6	16.2	-0.58
Isaiah Thomas	38	40	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	-1	5	14.5	15.8	-1.29	15.5	15.9	-0.36
Thomas Robinson	14	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	6	-9	16.1	15.1	0.99	18.7	15.2	3.50
James Johnson	29	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	12	-21	16.5	14.7	1.83	15.4	15.9	-0.47
Charles Hayes	31	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.12	-9	12	-21	17.5	14.1	3.35	16.1	15.6	0.54
Jimmer Fredette	26	30	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	10	-17	16.0	14.9	1.13	15.2	16.0	-0.83

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Jones	11	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-6	9	17.6	15.5	2.15	16.8	15.0	1.81
Shaun Livingston	23	24	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-7	11	16.8	15.4	1.45	17.5	14.4	3.02
Dion Waiters	57	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-4	5	15.8	15.6	0.19	15.5	14.8	0.65
Tristan Thompson	66	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-7	11	16.7	13.5	3.23	16.2	12.8	3.43
Luke Walton	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	4	-11	15.1	16.2	-1.10	14.7	15.5	-0.78
CJ Miles	59	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	2	-7	14.7	17.5	-2.79	14.5	16.5	-2.03
Tyler Zeller	72	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	2	-7	15.4	16.9	-1.47	14.7	17.0	-2.39
Alonzo Gee	75	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	16.0	14.6	1.45	15.3	14.9	0.35
Kyrie Irving	71	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	4	-11	15.4	16.8	-1.45	14.4	17.5	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.15,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.15,0.17,0	91.1%
LAL 100, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.42,0	91.0%
LAC 86, GSW 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.53,0.28,0.32,0.42,0	91.0%