inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 112 Excitement10.8 [46] MVPChris Bosh (MIA): +27.7%
Orlando Magic 110 Comeback12.6 [184] LVPHedo Turkoglu (ORL): -36.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0.280,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.140.150.011569%0.2800.002100%0.01
Ray Allen0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.150.060.00985%0.2100.002100%0.01
Joel Anthony0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.040.13-0.00373%0.201-0.02580%0.02
LeBron James0.160,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.160.110.070.022260%0.223-0.061694%0.09
Mario Chalmers-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00350%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Miller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00437%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Norris Cole-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Shane Battier-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.210,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.25,-0.21-0.10-0.12-0.012042%-0.133-0.091030%-0.27

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.43,0.43,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.270.270.100.16-0.011960%0.342-0.07989%0.08
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.17,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.37,0.37,0.220.220.150.070.001388%0.443-0.2200%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.070.001753%0.1300.00450%-0.04
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.02-0.021048%0.0700.0010%-0.02
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
DeQuan Jones0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.01643%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.07-0.070.04-0.100.01855%-0.0700.006100%0.03
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.01-0.00425%-0.044-0.0800%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.37-0.37-0.12-0.240.021141%-0.065-0.3100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.41.831.215.725.10.832.21.618.0152.7
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL -7.4%
ORL -7.4%
ORL -6.7%
MIA +71.1%
MIA +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAORLNBAMIAORLNBA
this game16.717.015.4117.9117.0104.1
season15.715.5110.2100.3
opponent15.315.9107.7102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA16.617.016.118.414.016.7
ORL17.714.319.018.614.617.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen55570.93-0.431.350.3719-173617.615.32.2917.116.80.31
Joel Anthony24230.57-0.070.640.1913-112415.717.0-1.2616.217.3-1.04
LeBron James86840.53-0.030.560.414-2616.518.1-1.6117.215.41.79
Mike Miller29290.490.010.480.1711-92018.216.02.1917.716.71.00
Dwyane Wade74720.080.42-0.340.49-1416-3016.616.8-0.2016.319.2-2.85
Norris Cole1214-0.000.50-0.510.03-13-418.516.42.1115.117.3-2.18
Udonis Haslem3031-0.020.52-0.55-0.0511016.216.9-0.7118.016.51.49
Mario Chalmers4845-0.100.60-0.700.08-68-1416.217.1-0.8118.215.92.26
Shane Battier4847-0.120.62-0.750.11-810-1816.416.9-0.4816.417.6-1.28
Chris Bosh5858-0.350.85-1.20-0.03-1113-2416.616.8-0.2617.316.50.86

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle O'Quinn45-0.04-0.460.420.05-31-418.216.91.3118.416.61.84
Arron Afflalo8282-0.12-0.380.26-0.4411-132416.917.7-0.7616.915.41.47
Hedo Turkoglu6770-0.24-0.260.02-0.519-112016.318.7-2.3416.915.91.05
Ish Smith2725-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-119-2018.716.32.3415.916.9-1.05
Nikola Vucevic8383-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.456-81417.017.1-0.1016.517.7-1.26
Andrew Nicholson3130-0.29-0.21-0.070.04-119-2018.616.22.3616.116.9-0.86
DeQuan Jones4142-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-1412-2618.815.63.2015.817.4-1.60
Josh McRoberts7072-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.524-61016.219.2-2.9717.015.71.26
JJ Redick6566-0.550.05-0.60-0.52-1-1016.019.3-3.2917.015.91.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.62,0.45,0.84,0.85,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.55,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 124, CHI 1200.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.52,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.4,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.42,087.8%
PHX 107, CHI 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.09,0.01,087.4%
MIA 130, GSW 1290.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.73,087.0%