NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	91		Excitement	5.8 [627]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +6.8%
Chicago Bulls	81		Comeback	1.1 [592]		LVP	Nate Robinson (CHI): -14.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	13	56%	0.13	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	59%	0.07	1	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Ben Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	12	58%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	9	68%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	56%	0.04	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Jeff Taylor	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	3	83%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	31%	-0.04	2	-0.04	8	37%	-0.05
Brendan Haywood	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Hakim Warrick	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	10	32%	-0.06	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	18	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	19	48%	0.04	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	12	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	2	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	9	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	11	23%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.6	27.7	14.7	24.5	2.4	41.5	137.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +53.0%

CHI -4.0%

CHA +3.3%

CHI -5.1%

CHA +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	15.4	92.9	83.5	104.1
season	15.6	16.6		99.9	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.5	18.4	16.5	10.7	14.7
CHI	15.5	18.5	12.3	14.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	77	74	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-7	24	14.3	16.1	-1.88	14.1	17.4	-3.30
Kemba Walker	72	73	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.22	12	-2	14	14.6	15.0	-0.41	14.6	15.7	-1.11
Jeff Adrien	51	49	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	2	6	12.6	16.9	-4.24	14.7	15.1	-0.37
Ben Gordon	48	44	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	4	2	13.6	15.7	-2.12	16.5	13.5	2.93
Bismack Biyombo	46	46	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	3	4	16.0	13.5	2.52	15.9	14.0	1.93
Brendan Haywood	40	39	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	9	-8	14.6	14.7	-0.11	15.7	14.3	1.45
Jeff Taylor	46	50	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	4	2	15.6	13.8	1.74	15.6	14.1	1.53
Hakim Warrick	59	60	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	6	-2	15.4	13.5	1.91	13.7	16.8	-3.13
Ramon Sessions	51	50	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.04	-11	21	-32	15.6	13.6	1.97	14.3	15.5	-1.23

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	27	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-17	24	14.4	15.1	-0.65	15.4	14.4	1.02
Richard Hamilton	36	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.09	-4	-6	2	12.9	16.0	-3.16	17.1	13.3	3.83
Nazr Mohammed	14	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-12	14	20.6	13.9	6.66	16.7	14.3	2.44
Nate Robinson	64	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-3	-4	13.0	18.6	-5.65	14.0	15.9	-1.82
Carlos Boozer	75	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-4	-2	13.0	21.3	-8.33	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Joakim Noah	62	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-1	-8	14.4	15.8	-1.45	15.6	13.2	2.46
Marquis Teague	33	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-7	4	18.6	13.0	5.65	15.9	14.0	1.82
Taj Gibson	43	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	17.1	13.1	3.94	13.1	15.9	-2.81
Marco Belinelli	50	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-2	-6	17.3	12.3	5.04	13.7	15.6	-1.88
Luol Deng	81	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	5	-20	14.4	17.2	-2.84	13.9	18.5	-4.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0	93.6%
IND 101, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.38,0.23,0.22,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.26,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.5%
IND 87, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.23,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0	93.4%