NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	6.4 [520]		MVP	CJ Miles (CLE): +33.7%
Brooklyn Nets	103		Comeback	1.2 [1126]		LVP	Dion Waiters (CLE): -21.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.03	0.03	15	100%	0.38	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	11	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Jeremy Pargo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	40%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Kyrie Irving	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	16	38%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Dion Waiters	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22	-0.14	-0.07	0.01	8	28%	-0.10	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.09	0.01	20	69%	0.30	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	13	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	35%	-0.02	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	26.4	15.3	24.1	2.5	38.4	134.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +4.4%

BKN +17.3%

BKN +3.4%

BKN +25.4%

CLE -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BKN	NBA	CLE	BKN	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.4	104.2	107.3	104.1
season	15.5	16.5		102.5	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.9	13.6	15.2	14.2	14.5
BKN	15.8	14.6	15.4	16.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	63	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.44	9	-12	21	13.1	17.0	-3.90	15.9	14.9	1.05
Tristan Thompson	71	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.41	8	-11	19	14.4	14.8	-0.45	16.2	13.6	2.63
Jeremy Pargo	26	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-1	-1	14.3	14.5	-0.27	16.3	15.2	1.12
Alonzo Gee	65	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	4	-11	14.6	14.1	0.50	14.8	17.0	-2.16
CJ Miles	71	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.46	7	-10	17	13.6	16.9	-3.26	15.4	16.0	-0.64
Kyrie Irving	70	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-2	1	14.5	14.3	0.27	15.2	16.3	-1.12
Dion Waiters	61	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	6	-15	15.4	12.8	2.67	16.1	14.5	1.64
Tyler Zeller	53	55	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.00	-20	17	-37	16.0	12.5	3.50	14.6	16.8	-2.14

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	82	82	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.33	14	-11	25	15.6	15.0	0.62	14.9	11.9	3.06
Brook Lopez	69	69	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.27	15	-12	27	15.3	16.1	-0.76	15.4	12.1	3.33
Deron Williams	80	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	-2	7	15.2	17.4	-2.21	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Gerald Wallace	73	72	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	5	-7	15.5	15.8	-0.33	15.0	12.7	2.29
Keith Bogans	37	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.03	5	-2	7	15.5	15.5	-0.03	15.7	13.7	2.01
MarShon Brooks	14	13	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	-1	5	15.0	15.6	-0.62	13.3	14.7	-1.34
Reggie Evans	45	46	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.36	-8	11	-19	15.8	15.3	0.59	13.2	15.6	-2.40
CJ Watson	18	18	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	4	-5	16.7	15.3	1.40	15.1	14.3	0.79
Jerry Stackhouse	37	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	10	-17	14.8	16.0	-1.22	12.8	15.6	-2.82
Andray Blatche	25	24	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.09	-10	13	-23	17.3	14.9	2.36	12.2	15.2	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.7,0.52,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.95,1	93.3%
DET 92, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.9,1	93.3%
PHX 97, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,0.96,1	93.2%