inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 93 Excitement4.3 [971] MVPKevin Martin (OKC): +16.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 107 Comeback1.5 [969] LVPThabo Sefolosha (OKC): -8.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Green0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.00550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Nando De Colo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.04970%0.032-0.022100%0.00
Patty Mills0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02350%0.011-0.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.04370%0.0100.00475%0.00
Matt Bonner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.020.01762%0.031-0.0320%-0.03
Tim Duncan-0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.030.011055%0.011-0.032100%0.01
James Anderson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.01-0.04939%0.003-0.0400%0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01462%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Tony Parker-0.050,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.030.021148%-0.001-0.05786%0.01
Boris Diaw-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.01543%-0.012-0.05450%-0.02
Gary Neal-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.001136%-0.032-0.0400%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.170.010.021087%0.181-0.023100%0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.010.02-0.061358%0.124-0.057100%0.03
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.000.021666%0.113-0.04683%0.02
DeAndre Liggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.010.011847%0.021-0.021182%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02757%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02943%-0.0100.003100%0.01
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.02250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0110%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.00812%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.71.826.214.828.32.428.6128.7
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +6.7%
OKC +16.7%
OKC +9.7%
OKC +14.5%
OKC +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASOKCNBASASOKCNBA
this game15.714.215.496.9110.3104.1
season15.214.8106.4109.3
opponent15.515.1100.699.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS18.113.616.814.415.7
OKC13.215.212.615.614.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Bonner23250.08-0.580.65-0.044-182213.716.3-2.5515.113.91.22
James Anderson34350.07-0.570.63-0.116-202613.117.1-3.9615.313.51.74
Patty Mills2424-0.02-0.480.46-0.144-182214.416.1-1.7415.613.71.93
Nando De Colo4851-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-141414.117.2-3.1514.114.3-0.16
DeJuan Blair3232-0.11-0.390.29-0.05-2-121014.816.1-1.3414.214.10.11
Stephen Jackson3939-0.14-0.360.220.01-5-9416.315.21.1112.615.3-2.69
Tiago Splitter4344-0.18-0.320.13-0.04-5-9416.015.40.6714.214.20.05
Boris Diaw4747-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-10-4-615.416.0-0.6213.714.6-0.92
Danny Green3839-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.02-11-3-816.015.40.5814.813.71.12
Tim Duncan4746-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.02-151-1617.214.23.0114.114.3-0.17
Tony Parker4948-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.01-162-1817.214.03.2014.214.2-0.02
Gary Neal5655-0.50-0.00-0.500.09-206-2617.113.73.3513.615.0-1.37

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Serge Ibaka76770.61-0.110.72-0.0924-103413.715.7-1.9616.412.73.73
Thabo Sefolosha50480.420.080.340.071221013.514.9-1.3516.315.01.31
Russell Westbrook73750.420.080.33-0.0215-11613.715.6-1.9315.615.9-0.23
Kevin Durant77800.340.160.190.1477014.612.61.9215.715.60.06
Nick Collison53500.310.190.130.1759-413.814.6-0.8414.716.7-2.04
Kevin Martin66650.210.29-0.070.0468-214.313.90.3515.116.9-1.76
Kendrick Perkins41440.190.31-0.13-0.11104614.613.90.7116.814.72.11
Eric Maynor24210.080.42-0.330.11-115-1615.613.71.9315.915.60.23
DeAndre Liggins320.000.50-0.500.03-115-1615.314.11.2015.015.7-0.69
Jeremy Lamb320.000.50-0.500.03-115-1615.314.11.2015.015.7-0.69
Reggie Jackson320.000.50-0.500.03-115-1615.314.11.2015.015.7-0.69
Hasheem Thabeet1614-0.090.59-0.670.06-519-2415.413.91.5112.116.3-4.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 79, SAS 950.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,195.8%
MIN 89, ORL 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
HOU 105, DET 1090.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,195.7%