NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	6.5 [491]		MVP	Alan Anderson (TOR): +31.4%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	1.8 [368]		LVP	Omer Asik (HOU): -7.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	18	55%	0.13	2	-0.05	15	93%	0.07
Greg Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	11	68%	0.13	3	-0.12	6	83%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	11	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	44%	-0.02	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Jeremy Lin	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	39%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31	0.31	0.19	0.15	0.02	12	73%	0.31	0	0.00	9	100%	0.07
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	12	60%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Ed Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	9	68%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	19	47%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	41%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.06
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	27.2	16.6	24.3	2.7	48.2	146.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +41.5%

HOU -4.4%

HOU -5.2%

TOR +16.4%

TOR +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	16.2	15.4	101.1	109.6	104.1
season	14.2	16.1		107.9	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	16.9	14.0	11.7	14.3
TOR	15.8	15.0	18.1	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	45	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-13	19	14.4	14.1	0.34	15.4	16.9	-1.53
Greg Smith	41	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.31	7	-14	21	14.4	14.1	0.27	15.3	16.9	-1.56
Terrence Jones	9	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-1	-5	19.0	13.8	5.23	12.6	16.6	-3.93
Toney Douglas	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-2	-3	14.3	14.2	0.07	15.4	16.6	-1.19
Marcus Morris	69	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-5	3	14.4	14.0	0.36	16.9	14.1	2.82
Omer Asik	51	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	2	-11	14.8	13.7	1.08	17.8	14.4	3.37
James Harden	82	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-5	3	13.7	17.6	-3.88	16.3	15.4	0.92
Jeremy Lin	66	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	0	-7	13.8	15.4	-1.66	16.0	16.8	-0.87
Chandler Parsons	80	79	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.16	-17	10	-27	14.1	15.2	-1.11	16.3	15.9	0.35

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.17	7	0	7	16.5	15.3	1.25	13.6	16.2	-2.68
Mickael Pietrus	41	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	-1	9	17.2	15.5	1.68	13.5	14.8	-1.32
Ed Davis	47	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-5	17	17.8	14.7	3.09	15.0	13.6	1.42
Alan Anderson	51	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	7	-7	15.5	17.1	-1.69	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Jonas Valanciunas	27	27	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	-5	17	16.5	16.1	0.41	14.9	14.0	0.82
Jose Calderon	74	75	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	7	-7	15.4	19.2	-3.78	14.0	15.2	-1.19
Amir Johnson	57	59	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.34	-3	10	-13	15.4	17.5	-2.13	14.0	14.7	-0.78
John Lucas III	21	22	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	-4	15	18.3	15.6	2.72	14.3	14.3	0.01
Terrence Ross	45	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	11	-15	15.4	17.0	-1.58	15.3	13.4	1.91
Linas Kleiza	37	37	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.07	-8	15	-23	16.2	16.3	-0.10	15.5	13.4	2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.87,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 71, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1	93.0%
MIN 80, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,0.98,1	93.0%
DET 91, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	92.8%