NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	7.9 [260]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +68.0%
Brooklyn Nets	97		Comeback	5.5 [314]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -43.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.68	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.68,0.68	0.31	0.40	0.03	24	76%	0.75	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.09
Jason Kidd	0.56	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.56	0.20	0.38	0.01	9	95%	0.56	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Pablo Prigioni	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11	0.01	-0.12	-0.01	15	50%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.43	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.28,-0.33,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43	-0.21	-0.24	-0.02	12	31%	-0.19	7	-0.24	2	50%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.01	14	57%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.01	8	71%	0.23	3	-0.08	8	87%	-0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.02	-0.01	13	72%	0.20	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	-0.01	16	47%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	4	45%	0.01	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	39.4	3.3	29.6	18.7	28.1	3.4	38.0	160.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +28.4%

NYK +1.4%

NYK +14.3%

NYK +4.9%

NYK +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BKN	NBA	NYK	BKN	NBA
this game	16.6	17.5	15.4	119.0	114.1	104.1
season	16.2	16.5		107.9	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.8	15.7	16.9	19.5	16.6
BKN	15.8	17.7	18.1	18.4	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	55	55	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-8	19	16.5	16.8	-0.23	18.2	16.2	1.96
Carmelo Anthony	78	78	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.43	5	-2	7	16.5	18.0	-1.50	17.1	21.6	-4.47
Jason Kidd	65	66	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	0	3	17.4	13.8	3.64	16.8	19.6	-2.78
Raymond Felton	56	58	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.51	-1	4	-5	16.8	16.2	0.54	16.4	19.7	-3.33
Tyson Chandler	53	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.52	-6	9	-15	17.3	15.4	1.98	17.2	17.9	-0.73
Steve Novak	37	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.20	12	-9	21	16.1	17.0	-0.99	18.9	16.4	2.56
Rasheed Wallace	26	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	-4	11	14.8	17.4	-2.61	18.0	17.2	0.83
Pablo Prigioni	16	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	3	-3	17.4	16.4	0.95	20.3	16.9	3.40
James White	11	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	5	-7	11.7	17.3	-5.62	20.2	17.0	3.14
Ronnie Brewer	23	23	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.12	-14	17	-31	17.4	16.3	1.14	15.9	18.0	-2.14

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	23	21	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.15	-4	1	-5	19.8	16.6	3.17	17.0	16.5	0.52
Reggie Evans	60	60	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-9	15	16.9	18.8	-1.83	16.1	17.7	-1.60
MarShon Brooks	21	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	1	-5	19.1	16.9	2.16	17.0	16.5	0.59
Kris Humphries	14	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	2	-7	20.5	16.9	3.63	16.5	16.6	-0.08
Andray Blatche	50	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.52	9	-12	21	16.9	18.2	-1.29	18.2	14.3	3.84
Joe Johnson	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.49	0	-3	3	17.3	18.1	-0.80	16.6	16.5	0.13
Gerald Wallace	77	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	1	-5	17.0	21.6	-4.59	16.4	18.1	-1.68
Deron Williams	71	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.50	-2	-1	-1	16.6	21.6	-4.99	16.6	16.8	-0.28
Jerry Stackhouse	38	38	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	8	-19	18.3	16.8	1.43	15.2	17.8	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.6,0.71,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 92, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.32,0.42,0	91.0%
MIN 94, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.79,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.42,0	90.2%
DET 94, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.75,0.63,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0	89.9%