NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	2.8 [1232]		MVP	Malcolm Lee (MIN): +10.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	1.1 [573]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -9.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Lee	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	4	125%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	8	89%	0.10	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	5	71%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	62%	0.07	4	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Dante Cunningham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	10	59%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	10	27%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	36%	0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.00
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	10	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Maalik Wayns	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	13	43%	-0.03	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	0.05	20	44%	-0.05	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	25.6	14.6	24.8	1.6	24.4	117.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +42.6%

MIN +1.3%

MIN +4.0%

MIN +2.1%

PHI -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	14.0	15.4	111.7	91.7	104.1
season	15.6	15.5		101.3	100.5
opponent	15.7	14.9		104.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.8	13.3	16.1	20.1	16.3
PHI	15.3	13.9	11.6	15.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	58	60	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	7	3	16.1	16.6	-0.45	13.3	15.2	-1.91
Kevin Love	52	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	8	1	16.2	16.5	-0.30	13.1	15.2	-2.02
Nikola Pekovic	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	6	5	16.3	16.3	-0.07	13.4	14.8	-1.39
Alexey Shved	56	56	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	8	1	16.4	16.2	0.21	14.6	13.2	1.34
Jose Juan Barea	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	5	7	16.1	16.6	-0.48	14.9	13.0	1.86
Dante Cunningham	49	49	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	7	3	16.6	16.0	0.59	14.9	13.2	1.69
Luke Ridnour	42	44	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	12	-7	16.6	16.1	0.48	13.0	14.9	-1.86
Malcolm Lee	38	40	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	9	-1	16.2	16.4	-0.21	13.2	14.6	-1.34
Greg Stiemsma	35	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	8	1	15.3	16.9	-1.63	14.6	13.7	0.97
Derrick Williams	29	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	12	-7	16.4	16.3	0.15	15.8	13.3	2.48
Lou Amundson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	23.8	15.9	7.91	16.2	13.9	2.29

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-17	17	11.3	14.1	-2.78	13.3	16.4	-3.07
Arnett Moultrie	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-20	23	16.1	13.6	2.56	20.1	15.4	4.70
Maalik Wayns	26	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-16	15	16.1	13.3	2.86	18.5	15.5	2.96
Damien Wilkins	34	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-14	11	14.4	13.8	0.54	18.0	15.3	2.65
Lavoy Allen	53	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-17	17	12.4	16.1	-3.73	15.6	17.2	-1.53
Kwame Brown	23	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-4	-9	14.7	13.8	0.93	15.1	16.7	-1.59
Dorell Wright	23	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-7	-3	16.3	13.3	2.93	17.9	15.9	2.02
Thaddeus Young	58	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-9	1	13.2	15.3	-2.08	15.4	17.7	-2.30
Spencer Hawes	39	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-1	-15	16.2	12.5	3.70	17.5	15.5	2.00
Jason Richardson	63	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-5	-7	13.5	15.0	-1.52	15.1	18.7	-3.56
Jrue Holiday	66	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	-4	-9	13.2	15.8	-2.52	15.9	17.2	-1.26
Evan Turner	74	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-5	-7	13.7	15.3	-1.61	15.8	18.0	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 92, WAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
BOS 109, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
SAC 114, DAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%