inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 81 Excitement5.1 [800] MVPRobin Lopez (NOH): +24.1%
New Orleans Hornets 102 Comeback1.4 [438] LVPLuc Mbah a Moute (MIL): -15.7%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.010.05-0.041257%0.184-0.10683%0.02
Mike Dunleavy0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01460%0.031-0.00250%-0.01
Brandon Jennings0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.010.012352%0.052-0.0420%-0.03
Joel Przybilla0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tobias Harris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Marquis Daniels-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Doron Lamb-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.010.02367%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Larry Sanders-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02844%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00233%-0.0300.002100%0.01
John Henson-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02517%-0.0500.0020%-0.04
Ekpe Udoh-0.120,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.040.02741%-0.053-0.073100%0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.06-0.00935%-0.083-0.08250%-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.190.070.011084%0.2400.005100%0.03
Ryan Anderson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.140.03-0.051473%0.261-0.042100%0.00
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.010.03583%0.0800.002100%0.01
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.010.02771%0.0500.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.01764%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Xavier Henry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.060.02-0.05617%0.0100.0000%0.00
Darius Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.010.01642%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.020.021246%-0.011-0.042100%0.01
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0150%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.030.02961%0.014-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.526.814.724.31.828.0124.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +45.0%
NOH +6.3%
MIL -2.6%
NOH +0.0%
NOH +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILNOHNBAMILNOHNBA
this game17.017.915.498.8122.9104.1
season14.716.3101.6103.9
opponent15.615.3108.1103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.917.818.416.017.0
NOH17.617.417.619.217.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Przybilla440.00-0.500.500.12-4-171316.217.0-0.7621.717.74.02
Tobias Harris440.00-0.500.500.12-4-171316.217.0-0.7621.717.74.02
John Henson2630-0.03-0.470.440.09-4-171317.616.70.9416.818.6-1.82
Mike Dunleavy3333-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-171317.916.41.5118.817.41.43
Ersan Ilyasova3431-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-161115.218.2-3.0719.117.21.81
Doron Lamb2424-0.21-0.290.090.14-12-9-314.817.9-3.0318.517.70.86
Ekpe Udoh4547-0.22-0.280.05-0.05-6-15918.315.42.9117.218.9-1.70
Marquis Daniels2729-0.23-0.270.050.04-9-12317.416.80.6417.818.0-0.15
Luc Mbah a Moute3432-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.02-10-11117.916.31.6517.718.1-0.39
Monta Ellis6263-0.33-0.17-0.160.05-13-8-516.219.3-3.1417.319.8-2.53
Larry Sanders4444-0.43-0.07-0.350.04-16-5-1116.517.5-0.9818.517.31.12
Brandon Jennings7374-0.520.02-0.530.01-18-3-1517.513.04.4717.719.4-1.70

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Xavier Henry34360.370.130.24-0.131741318.917.21.6716.017.8-1.79
Brian Roberts34350.370.130.23-0.07156918.317.70.5717.716.41.24
Jason Smith40410.340.160.17-0.221921718.017.90.1415.818.1-2.29
Ryan Anderson56540.320.180.150.06912-318.317.11.2117.915.32.57
Austin Rivers36380.270.230.04-0.08129319.216.92.3415.718.0-2.31
Roger Mason Jr.47440.230.27-0.04-0.04912-316.919.2-2.3418.015.72.31
Lance Thomas27280.180.32-0.15-0.18129317.118.3-1.2115.317.9-2.57
Robin Lopez41390.160.34-0.170.13120-1917.518.4-0.8718.116.02.15
Greivis Vasquez49470.130.37-0.23-0.04615-917.718.3-0.5716.417.7-1.24
Al-Farouq Aminu49460.130.37-0.240.01417-1317.218.9-1.6717.816.01.79
Darius Miller220.000.50-0.50-0.03120-1925.517.77.7618.516.91.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 86, CLE 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,194.4%
BOS 104, DET 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.6,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.79,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,194.2%
POR 89, ATL 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,194.1%