inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 95 Excitement9.6 [84] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +18.0%
San Antonio Spurs 99 Comeback23.7 [83] LVPZach Randolph (MEM): -42.3%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.17-0.010.18-0.011355%0.294-0.11786%0.05
Darrell Arthur0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.040.010.02-0.01862%0.082-0.0400%0.00
Marreese Speights-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.02629%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Wayne Ellington-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01337%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Quincy Pondexter-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.06-0.01625%-0.092-0.0400%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.140.04-0.150.031662%0.043-0.1700%0.00
Rudy Gay-0.230,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.10-0.15-0.031842%-0.074-0.1600%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.3-0.09-0.21-0.00825%-0.161-0.13475%-0.00
Zach Randolph-0.420,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.33,-0.33,-0.4,-0.4,-0.42-0.13-0.29-0.002135%-0.253-0.177100%0.05

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.180.180.090.120.032060%0.272-0.091080%0.02
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.120.120.100.030.011769%0.244-0.125100%0.04
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.023117%0.0600.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.02-0.01437%0.0300.0000%0.00
James Anderson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01-0.00275%0.021-0.0200%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00542%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Nando De Colo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.011638%-0.051-0.022100%0.02
Danny Green0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.0170%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.33,-0.33,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31-0.31-0.20-0.15-0.041530%-0.046-0.27333%-0.10
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.12.531.315.422.71.729.41.721.7151.6
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +77.5%
MEM -16.3%
MEM -34.6%
SAS +32.6%
MEM -9.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMSASNBAMEMSASNBA
this game15.214.715.489.692.5104.1
season16.515.2102.9106.4
opponent15.115.599.599.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MEM14.513.514.618.414.715.2
SAS15.516.516.011.612.514.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Arthur34330.35-0.851.20-0.0614-183211.916.8-4.9015.714.21.55
Wayne Ellington42420.27-0.771.040.154-81215.215.20.0515.913.82.06
Marreese Speights3134-0.11-0.390.280.01-40-413.915.7-1.8014.114.9-0.79
Jerryd Bayless4345-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-4414.615.6-1.0113.615.4-1.74
Marc Gasol7271-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.370-4416.013.42.6014.714.50.23
Quincy Pondexter6060-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.37-1-3214.316.4-2.1714.514.8-0.24
Mike Conley8181-0.550.05-0.61-0.38-62-815.813.22.6314.714.50.15
Rudy Gay9293-0.720.22-0.94-0.40-117-1815.513.02.5414.614.9-0.32
Zach Randolph7576-0.830.33-1.16-0.36-1612-2816.412.24.2114.415.4-1.03

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Bonner40400.77-0.271.040.3315-112613.015.7-2.6816.514.42.04
Manu Ginobili74740.68-0.180.860.487-31013.816.5-2.6514.516.8-2.34
Tony Parker84840.490.010.490.4322014.913.61.3315.912.53.42
Gary Neal81770.390.110.270.56-610-1615.611.73.9115.115.5-0.38
Tim Duncan78790.370.130.240.3704-415.612.13.4515.614.11.47
Tiago Splitter45420.160.34-0.180.1022013.315.6-2.3213.916.0-2.12
Patty Mills19190.130.37-0.23-0.1610-61610.915.5-4.5117.414.72.70
Nando De Colo13140.100.40-0.31-0.117-31010.715.2-4.5114.815.3-0.49
James Anderson110.020.48-0.460.0204-46.014.7-8.743.015.3-12.32
DeJuan Blair3333-0.080.58-0.66-0.05-15-616.114.02.0315.515.10.40
Boris Diaw2930-0.250.75-0.990.02-913-2215.514.31.1813.815.8-1.96
Danny Green3837-0.290.79-1.08-0.08-711-1816.613.62.9814.815.4-0.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.23,0.14,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.05,0.15,0.46,0.47,0.64,0.94,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 96, HOU 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.66,0.96,190.4%
DET 83, LAC 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.73,190.0%
CHA 98, CLE 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.09,0.28,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.78,0.83,189.6%