NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	116		Excitement	7.8 [270]		MVP	Randy Foye (UTA): +34.2%
Houston Rockets	124		Comeback	1.9 [825]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -11.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.15	0.19	-0.00	11	91%	0.39	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.06	-0.02	12	81%	0.31	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	65%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jeremy Evans	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	19	53%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.02	13	62%	0.10	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	0.03	11	43%	-0.10	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.13	-0.01	5	68%	0.23	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Jeremy Lin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.06	0.14	-0.02	14	63%	0.27	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	0.00	7	93%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.02	0.04	12	73%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	17	56%	0.19	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.03	5	93%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	16	51%	0.10	5	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.4	27.2	16.7	24.2	2.3	30.6	125.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.5%

HOU +21.9%

UTA -9.6%

HOU +7.1%

HOU +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	12.9	15.4	116.0	124.0	104.1
season	16.0	14.2		104.6	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		105.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.9	16.8	16.5	15.5	15.9
HOU	11.3	10.8	13.5	16.5	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	76	77	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-15	22	14.9	19.2	-4.39	13.3	11.5	1.83
Al Jefferson	80	79	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.11	5	-13	18	14.9	19.9	-4.99	13.2	11.6	1.61
DeMarre Carroll	41	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-10	12	15.0	16.5	-1.46	12.7	13.1	-0.39
Alec Burks	29	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-7	6	18.1	15.0	3.04	13.0	12.8	0.20
Paul Millsap	77	77	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-10	12	14.9	19.4	-4.58	13.3	11.4	1.89
Randy Foye	69	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.10	-3	-5	2	14.8	18.4	-3.59	12.9	12.8	0.08
Jeremy Evans	17	17	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	1	-10	20.9	14.9	5.99	11.6	13.2	-1.57
Enes Kanter	26	27	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.15	-14	6	-20	18.8	14.9	3.97	11.5	13.4	-1.93
Earl Watson	24	23	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.15	-15	7	-22	19.2	14.9	4.39	11.5	13.3	-1.83
Gordon Hayward	61	62	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.29	-14	6	-20	16.7	14.6	2.08	13.0	12.8	0.16

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	72	73	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-1	10	12.6	13.6	-1.00	15.9	15.9	0.08
Carlos Delfino	33	33	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.04	17	-9	26	11.8	13.4	-1.55	18.6	14.6	4.02
Chandler Parsons	83	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	6	-4	13.3	10.7	2.63	15.7	17.1	-1.40
Toney Douglas	29	29	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	0	8	12.6	13.0	-0.38	17.4	15.3	2.07
Patrick Patterson	77	74	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	5	-2	13.1	12.0	1.10	15.0	18.4	-3.34
Marcus Morris	19	21	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	5	-2	12.7	12.9	-0.25	17.8	15.4	2.40
Jeremy Lin	71	71	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	8	-8	13.0	12.6	0.38	15.3	17.4	-2.07
James Harden	84	85	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	11	-14	12.9	13.1	-0.21	15.1	20.5	-5.36
Greg Smith	32	32	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	7	-6	13.0	12.8	0.21	16.6	15.6	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.9,0.93,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.48,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.94,0.93,1	92.4%
MIA 91, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.95,1	91.8%
SEA 91, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.99,0.98,1	91.8%