NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	79		Excitement	9.9 [66]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +39.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	77		Comeback	1.4 [317]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -29.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.12,0.39	0.00	0.40	0.01	13	61%	0.50	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	37%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	13	43%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.08
Gerald Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	27%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	15	47%	0.03	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.07

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.22,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.09	0.01	28	58%	0.48	10	-0.42	13	85%	0.04
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	53%	-0.00	2	-0.04	12	25%	-0.35
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	6	6%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	7	17%	-0.12	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.08
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29	-0.29	-0.13	-0.17	-0.00	8	20%	-0.24	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.24

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	28.2	15.7	33.2	2.5	38.2	143.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.5%

IND +23.8%

LAL -25.4%

IND +22.0%

LAL -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	16.3	13.9	15.4	82.3	81.1	104.1
season	16.1	14.9		102.4	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.5	15.5	13.7	19.4	16.3
LAL	13.8	13.3	13.0	15.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	63	64	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.32	16	-14	30	16.3	16.1	0.23	14.2	13.2	1.06
George Hill	73	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-9	20	16.3	16.0	0.30	13.9	13.7	0.29
David West	72	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-4	10	16.6	15.4	1.14	14.0	13.4	0.64
Lance Stephenson	55	56	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-7	16	16.8	15.6	1.20	14.6	12.9	1.66
Ian Mahinmi	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	1	0	15.4	17.9	-2.45	13.9	13.9	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	34	34	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	1	0	17.9	15.4	2.45	13.9	13.9	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	24	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	6	-10	15.4	16.6	-1.14	13.4	14.0	-0.64
Sam Young	40	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	10	-18	15.2	17.0	-1.84	12.8	14.6	-1.81
D.J. Augustin	23	23	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	11	-20	16.0	16.3	-0.30	13.7	13.9	-0.29
Gerald Green	34	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.11	-13	15	-28	16.6	16.1	0.45	13.3	14.2	-0.89

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	15	16	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.01	6	-8	14	13.2	14.0	-0.80	16.5	16.2	0.27
Antawn Jamison	45	47	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.16	11	-13	24	13.1	14.6	-1.53	16.1	16.4	-0.36
Jordan Hill	26	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-6	10	14.8	13.5	1.29	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Chris Duhon	46	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.53	7	-9	16	14.0	13.7	0.33	16.4	16.1	0.24
Darius Morris	47	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	14	-30	14.1	13.7	0.38	16.3	16.2	0.05
Pau Gasol	65	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	0	-2	13.6	14.5	-0.87	16.7	15.5	1.15
Dwight Howard	66	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	7	-16	14.2	13.2	1.01	16.6	15.4	1.15
Metta World Peace	79	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	5	-12	13.9	13.8	0.07	15.8	18.4	-2.52
Kobe Bryant	86	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	2	-6	13.9	13.7	0.23	16.3	16.1	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.26,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 82, MIL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.21,0.41,0.24,0.47,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.42,0	92.3%
MIN 102, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.18,0	92.1%
MIA 83, NYK 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.1,0.17,0.15,0	91.8%