NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	101		Excitement	5.0 [810]		MVP	Kyle Singler (DET): +20.5%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	1.4 [613]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -17.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.00	22	59%	0.21	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Will Barton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Meyers Leonard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.07	12	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	9	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Ronnie Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	35%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	18	31%	-0.11	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.04	0.02	7	107%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	6	73%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	6	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	17	67%	0.15	5	-0.06	5	100%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	16	50%	0.09	3	-0.04	8	50%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	9	55%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.8	25.3	15.7	25.0	2.5	38.4	136.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +56.0%

POR -9.6%

POR -1.0%

DET +4.0%

DET +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DET	NBA	POR	DET	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	15.4	109.8	116.1	104.1
season	15.8	15.7		104.3	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.6	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.5	17.0	15.0	14.6	15.8
DET	13.0	15.7	17.0	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Meyers Leonard	38	40	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.10	8	-15	23	16.5	15.2	1.26	15.7	15.1	0.57
Ronnie Price	21	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	15.3	15.9	-0.62	17.4	14.8	2.65
Will Barton	40	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-4	1	16.4	15.2	1.22	16.1	14.8	1.36
Jared Jeffries	16	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	0	-7	17.7	15.3	2.41	11.8	16.0	-4.23
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-6	5	15.3	18.1	-2.79	16.0	12.2	3.79
Wesley Matthews	71	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-6	5	15.5	16.6	-1.05	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Damian Lillard	71	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-2	-3	15.9	15.3	0.62	14.8	17.4	-2.65
Nicolas Batum	73	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	3	-13	15.6	16.3	-0.70	15.0	17.0	-2.04
JJ Hickson	54	54	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.28	-12	5	-17	15.3	16.4	-1.04	15.2	15.6	-0.46

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Singler	67	68	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.18	13	-6	19	15.1	16.1	-1.03	16.6	13.4	3.17
Tayshaun Prince	61	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-4	15	14.5	17.1	-2.57	16.5	14.4	2.08
Brandon Knight	65	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-6	19	14.5	17.4	-2.89	15.9	15.4	0.53
Jason Maxiell	65	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	0	7	15.0	16.1	-1.10	16.5	14.2	2.32
Andre Drummond	27	27	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	-1	9	15.9	15.2	0.67	15.3	16.0	-0.71
Greg Monroe	64	63	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	8	-9	15.1	16.0	-0.96	16.0	15.2	0.81
Rodney Stuckey	46	44	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.16	-1	8	-9	16.6	14.1	2.48	14.8	16.6	-1.76
Charlie Villanueva	30	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	9	-11	16.3	14.9	1.36	14.2	16.6	-2.36
Corey Maggette	30	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	13	-19	17.3	14.4	2.89	13.8	16.7	-2.90
Will Bynum	10	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	14	-21	16.7	15.2	1.48	14.7	15.9	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.72,0.72,0.85,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1	94.7%
CHI 97, SEA 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
IND 85, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%