NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	97		Excitement	4.9 [831]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +22.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	109		Comeback	1.4 [919]		LVP	Ronald Dupree (CHI): -10.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.01	-0.05	22	62%	0.17	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Eddy Curry	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	15	69%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	73%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.06	9	78%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	13	31%	-0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.02	0.00	16	82%	0.26	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.01	16	56%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	15	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	80%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Ansu Sesay	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	0.01	8	45%	0.01	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	29.0	14.8	27.2	2.7	34.0	134.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +36.4%

CHI -4.1%

SEA +8.2%

SEA +8.1%

SEA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SEA	NBA	CHI	SEA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.3	15.7	109.0	122.5	100.5
season	15.2	15.6		94.6	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.9	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	16.5	16.7	16.0	16.0
SEA	16.3	14.9	17.6	16.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	12	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-15	18	16.0	16.0	-0.04	13.1	16.8	-3.69
Ronald Dupree	13	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-10	8	15.8	16.1	-0.22	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Scottie Pippen	15	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-5	-2	15.1	16.2	-1.08	16.9	16.2	0.73
Jerome Williams	54	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-4	-4	15.9	16.3	-0.37	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Eddie Robinson	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-9	6	16.4	15.0	1.42	16.2	16.7	-0.47
Antonio Davis	29	30	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.04	-13	1	-14	16.9	15.6	1.28	16.8	16.1	0.72
Eddy Curry	80	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	-1	-10	16.0	16.4	-0.46	16.5	15.3	1.16
Kirk Hinrich	78	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	1	-14	16.1	15.6	0.45	16.6	14.3	2.28
Jamal Crawford	75	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	0	-12	16.0	16.1	-0.13	16.7	14.5	2.23

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	58	57	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.01	22	-10	32	16.7	15.5	1.19	16.9	14.5	2.39
Antonio Daniels	56	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.00	21	-9	30	15.7	17.3	-1.55	16.1	15.9	0.15
Rashard Lewis	71	72	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-3	18	16.4	15.9	0.55	15.7	17.3	-1.56
Ray Allen	75	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	1	10	16.7	14.3	2.42	16.6	13.4	3.24
Reggie Evans	34	34	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-2	16	16.2	16.4	-0.24	16.1	16.0	0.18
Vladimir Radmanovic	59	58	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	17	-22	15.8	17.3	-1.42	15.7	16.7	-0.99
Ansu Sesay	1	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	2.0	16.5	-14.49	12.7	16.2	-3.48
Jerome James	5	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	14	-16	24.6	15.8	8.77	12.5	16.2	-3.70
Calvin Booth	20	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	18	-24	16.1	16.4	-0.29	16.0	16.0	0.02
Luke Ridnour	34	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.18	-10	22	-32	16.9	16.0	0.85	15.6	16.3	-0.63
Ronald Murray	16	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	20	-28	15.9	16.4	-0.55	15.1	16.2	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 85, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
PHX 108, MIN 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
POR 101, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.72,0.72,0.85,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%