inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 94 Excitement5.3 [731] MVPWesley Matthews (POR): +12.3%
Portland Trail Blazers 102 Comeback1.9 [595] LVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): -14.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0.040,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.010.021075%0.102-0.0600%0.00
Nate Robinson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.10-0.000.091069%0.031-0.02683%0.01
Jimmy Butler0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.010.030.000.02667%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Taj Gibson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.030.00758%0.134-0.125100%0.04
Nazr Mohammed-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02322%-0.0200.00367%-0.01
Joakim Noah-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.040.021267%0.083-0.1000%0.00
Luol Deng-0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.030.011254%0.033-0.092100%0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.00825%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.09-0.06-0.00643%-0.024-0.132100%0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.050.021568%0.162-0.041100%0.01
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.03-0.021370%0.244-0.124100%0.02
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.03-0.00859%0.0900.001100%0.01
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.021357%0.072-0.05250%-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01862%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Meyers Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.030.031450%-0.012-0.05875%-0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.020.00433%-0.072-0.02450%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.625.013.825.11.741.3132.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +28.9%
CHI -6.6%
POR +6.2%
POR +20.4%
POR +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIPORNBACHIPORNBA
this game15.815.515.4102.2110.9104.1
season16.615.8101.7104.3
opponent15.315.2107.6102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI15.517.216.314.215.8
POR15.815.516.414.615.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nazr Mohammed99-0.14-0.360.220.07-7-1-617.715.62.1014.815.6-0.84
Richard Hamilton4140-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-6416.914.92.0016.015.20.87
Carlos Boozer4241-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-5216.515.21.2515.715.40.27
Kirk Hinrich5353-0.24-0.260.01-0.16-3-5216.514.81.6116.314.51.81
Nate Robinson3939-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.11-5-3-214.816.5-1.6114.516.3-1.81
Luol Deng7980-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.24-1-7615.120.2-5.1015.614.90.71
Marco Belinelli3739-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.24-1-7615.416.0-0.5714.716.2-1.46
Taj Gibson4141-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.06-80-816.615.11.5116.215.01.28
Joakim Noah7979-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.27-3-5215.617.1-1.5215.515.50.08
Jimmy Butler4039-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.15-7-1-614.816.5-1.7214.916.0-1.06

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMarcus Aldridge76770.62-0.120.750.2114-62015.615.00.6416.114.21.88
Ronnie Price34360.57-0.070.640.0418-102815.615.50.0917.414.72.75
Jared Jeffries48450.51-0.010.510.3071614.017.2-3.1214.417.1-2.77
Wesley Matthews73740.340.160.180.1371615.814.51.3315.616.4-0.84
Sasha Pavlovic10100.240.26-0.030.1244017.115.31.7620.615.25.42
Nicolas Batum75760.220.28-0.050.25-19-1015.216.9-1.6615.019.4-4.36
Damian Lillard66640.080.42-0.340.23-513-1815.216.3-1.0815.017.5-2.54
JJ Hickson44440.050.45-0.400.08-19-1016.314.81.4616.914.72.22
Will Barton18160.050.45-0.400.0217-615.815.50.3716.415.60.81
Meyers Leonard1618-0.180.68-0.85-0.06-412-1617.415.12.2315.215.9-0.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.53,0.72,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.96,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 94, CHA 1040.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,193.3%
POR 108, OKC 1200.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1,193.3%
HOU 82, UTA 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.99,1,193.2%