NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	84		Excitement	9.2 [111]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +36.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	82		Comeback	11.7 [100]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -17.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.37	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.37	0.02	0.36	0.01	12	46%	0.37	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	60%	0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	18	49%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	19	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kawhi Leonard	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17	-0.01	-0.16	0.00	8	50%	-0.09	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Manu Ginobili	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	8	17%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.10	0.00	19	70%	0.27	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.12	0.00	4	62%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,0.11,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	10	42%	0.07	1	-0.09	4	100%	0.08
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	40%	0.05	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	9	54%	0.08	6	-0.17	6	50%	-0.05
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	14	40%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	5	7%	-0.16	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.6	26.3	15.6	27.0	1.8	33.2	128.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +13.5%

LAL -19.0%

SAS +20.4%

SAS +37.7%

LAL -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAL	NBA	SAS	LAL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.9	15.4	94.4	92.1	104.1
season	15.2	14.9		106.4	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.1		105.7	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.4	14.2	16.6	18.7	16.5
LAL	13.1	19.4	17.7	14.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	67	67	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.50	9	-7	16	16.4	16.6	-0.23	16.3	14.7	1.62
Stephen Jackson	45	46	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.59	3	-1	4	15.9	17.0	-1.11	15.1	16.8	-1.73
DeJuan Blair	25	26	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-10	22	15.1	17.0	-1.92	14.8	16.3	-1.54
Kawhi Leonard	47	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	1	0	17.2	15.7	1.50	16.5	15.3	1.21
Danny Green	57	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	7	-12	17.4	14.9	2.48	15.7	16.3	-0.59
Patty Mills	12	12	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	-4	10	16.1	16.5	-0.44	14.8	16.1	-1.23
Manu Ginobili	35	36	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	-1	4	14.7	17.6	-2.83	16.1	15.7	0.40
Gary Neal	16	15	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	-2	6	15.6	16.6	-1.02	15.7	15.9	-0.28
Tony Parker	60	62	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	10	-18	17.0	15.3	1.71	16.2	15.3	0.86
Boris Diaw	29	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	8	-14	16.0	16.7	-0.68	15.4	16.1	-0.77
Tiago Splitter	52	51	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.01	-9	11	-20	17.2	15.5	1.71	16.5	15.1	1.48

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	36	37	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-3	4	14.3	17.0	-2.68	15.7	17.0	-1.34
Darius Morris	37	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-3	4	17.8	14.6	3.18	16.2	16.6	-0.44
Kobe Bryant	68	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.38	10	-12	22	16.2	15.0	1.24	17.0	14.8	2.16
Chris Duhon	38	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	1	-4	15.2	16.4	-1.25	15.9	16.8	-0.93
Metta World Peace	67	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.43	6	-8	14	15.3	17.7	-2.37	16.7	15.6	1.16
Jodie Meeks	21	21	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	10	-22	15.0	16.2	-1.24	14.8	17.0	-2.16
Dwight Howard	74	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.48	-1	-1	0	16.5	12.9	3.57	16.8	14.7	2.07
Pau Gasol	68	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.47	-4	2	-6	16.1	15.3	0.80	16.5	16.3	0.27
Antawn Jamison	36	36	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.38	-8	6	-14	15.8	15.9	-0.11	16.7	16.3	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 96, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.58,0	90.6%
WAS 107, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.85,0	90.5%
CLE 98, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.58,0	90.0%