NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	107		Excitement	10.2 [57]		MVP	Calbert Cheaney (WAS): +21.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	5.5 [265]		LVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (PHI): -26.6%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.22	0.10	0.17	0.05	19	60%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Chris Whitney	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Tracy Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	87%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ashraf Amaya	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Chris Webber	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	12	48%	0.01	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Rod Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	17	46%	0.01	1	-0.06	7	100%	0.08
Harvey Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Jaren Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	0.00	18	55%	-0.05	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	13	50%	-0.07	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	20	43%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.23,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.15	-0.00	16	57%	-0.10	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.05
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.02	-0.13	0.02	14	68%	0.09	4	-0.23	9	78%	0.04
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.20	-0.02	11	25%	-0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.6	25.2	15.6	28.0	1.5	42.6	137.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +25.7%

WAS +7.5%

PHI -22.4%

WAS +31.9%

WAS +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.6	110.3	110.4	104.4
season	14.8	14.7		104.3	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.8		108.4	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.2	15.0	14.5	14.9	14.9
PHI	14.1	15.0	14.8	15.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	89	89	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.48	9	-8	17	14.6	18.0	-3.37	15.1	12.3	2.86
Calbert Cheaney	83	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.54	0	1	-1	15.2	12.9	2.31	14.8	15.7	-0.86
Tracy Murray	40	42	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-14	29	13.4	15.9	-2.48	14.4	15.4	-0.99
Rod Strickland	73	74	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.58	-9	10	-19	15.4	13.3	2.15	15.0	14.7	0.27
Gheorghe Muresan	31	37	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	-5	11	16.9	14.0	2.93	14.8	15.0	-0.16
Ashraf Amaya	20	16	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.32	-3	4	-7	14.8	14.9	-0.07	17.2	14.5	2.70
Chris Whitney	26	24	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.14	12	-11	23	13.0	15.6	-2.55	14.2	15.2	-1.03
Jaren Jackson	38	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.29	-9	10	-19	14.3	15.3	-0.97	16.1	14.3	1.78
Chris Webber	43	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	8	-15	16.1	14.0	2.13	15.3	14.6	0.75
Harvey Grant	42	38	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	10	-19	14.3	15.3	-1.01	13.4	16.0	-2.60

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don MacLean	61	64	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.08	6	-7	13	14.5	15.7	-1.22	14.6	15.5	-0.92
Michael Cage	9	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	5	-11	13.8	15.1	-1.28	14.4	15.0	-0.57
Rex Walters	15	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-5	9	15.6	14.8	0.79	13.8	15.1	-1.31
Scott Williams	27	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-3	5	15.3	14.8	0.50	17.3	14.2	3.06
Clar. Weatherspoon	62	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-2	3	16.1	12.7	3.41	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Derrick Coleman	82	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.49	4	-5	9	15.1	13.9	1.26	14.9	14.8	0.16
Allen Iverson	91	93	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.51	3	-4	7	14.6	20.4	-5.76	14.9	15.2	-0.36
Mark Davis	46	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	10	-21	13.7	16.1	-2.34	15.1	14.8	0.30
Jerry Stackhouse	87	87	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.41	-8	7	-15	15.1	13.7	1.40	14.9	15.4	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 76, NOH 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.58,0	91.4%
SEA 106, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.37,0.67,0.84,0	90.7%
DEN 106, DAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.84,0.91,0	90.6%