inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 140 Excitement13.9 [7] MVPPaul Millsap (UTA): +83.0%
Toronto Raptors 133 Comeback27.2 [37] LVPMo Williams (UTA): -24.4%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0.830,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.43,0.24,0.32,0.4,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.83,0.83,0.830.260.590.021681%1.021-0.191090%0.04
Al Jefferson0.430,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.430.020.410.002052%0.512-0.09683%0.04
Randy Foye0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.140.070.00787%0.322-0.12989%0.03
Derrick Favors0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.020.080.001250%0.132-0.06650%-0.05
Marvin Williams0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.020.00971%0.101-0.03667%-0.02
Enes Kanter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Gordon Hayward-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.040.031150%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Jamaal Tinsley-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.050.0010%-0.032-0.0800%0.00
Mo Williams-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.10-0.15-0.011650%-0.017-0.232100%0.05

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Lucas III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.340.340.030.30-0.01658%0.3400.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.01-0.021657%0.1100.003100%0.02
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.10.10-0.010.120.011659%0.315-0.222100%0.03
Dominic McGuire0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.06-0.01362%0.081-0.02250%-0.06
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.010.013100%0.091-0.044100%0.02
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.07,0,0,0,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.07,0,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.003351%0.145-0.14757%-0.01
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.01-0.060.00858%0.072-0.12333%-0.05
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.040.0010%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.060.0010%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.060.011744%-0.042-0.05989%0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2 OT3Total
this game23.31.627.915.628.42.036.32.317.21.817.72.414.4191.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.32.017.32.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +84.2%
UTA +18.9%
TOR -26.0%
TOR -13.8%
TOR -13.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTATORNBAUTATORNBA
this game15.716.115.4116.7112.7104.1
season16.016.1104.6104.4
opponent15.315.1105.8105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
UTA16.916.516.013.715.415.7
TOR17.415.514.017.716.116.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Jefferson93930.98-0.481.460.6611-41515.416.7-1.3515.717.5-1.79
Derrick Favors75730.72-0.220.940.2815-82315.915.30.6316.515.51.00
Paul Millsap85830.62-0.120.740.5043115.416.3-0.8515.816.9-1.18
Mo Williams96950.51-0.010.520.3070715.516.2-0.6915.916.8-0.89
Randy Foye65680.320.180.130.0210-31316.314.91.4817.014.82.20
Enes Kanter2021-0.020.52-0.54-0.0207-718.115.22.9318.215.62.59
Jamaal Tinsley2323-0.060.56-0.62-0.0607-716.915.41.5516.815.90.89
Gordon Hayward6864-0.160.66-0.820.02-613-1915.216.2-0.9815.816.5-0.72
Marvin Williams6559-0.400.90-1.30-0.23-613-1915.416.0-0.6015.316.9-1.61

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Lucas III22250.39-0.891.280.197-142117.415.81.5418.015.03.01
Jonas Valanciunas26290.02-0.520.540.05-1-6517.515.71.8316.915.31.63
Terrence Ross46-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-101316.216.10.1418.715.53.17
Linas Kleiza5758-0.11-0.390.29-0.110-7716.116.1-0.0415.216.0-0.81
Andrea Bargnani9296-0.13-0.370.23-0.161-8915.618.0-2.3715.217.5-2.35
Ed Davis3230-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.15-5-2-317.015.81.2217.814.92.86
Aaron Gray98-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.12-81-915.316.2-0.8416.515.60.90
Jose Calderon9598-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.17-70-716.016.7-0.7314.918.8-3.87
Amir Johnson7773-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.31-5-2-316.016.4-0.3915.216.4-1.26
DeMar DeRozan114115-0.540.04-0.58-0.25-103-1316.116.2-0.1415.422.4-7.03
Dominic McGuire6262-0.630.13-0.77-0.34-103-1315.916.3-0.4416.015.20.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.92,0.54,0.31,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.23,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.15,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 86, NYK 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,185.3%
ATL 102, BOS 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.85,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,185.1%
TOR 111, UTA 1060.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.84,0.74,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.24,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.24,0.05,085.1%