NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	111		Excitement	12.0 [11]		MVP	Linas Kleiza (TOR): +43.3%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	10.0 [37]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -41.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.15	0.28	0.00	16	68%	0.53	1	-0.09	5	100%	0.10
DeMar DeRozan	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.12	0.01	11	65%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.07
Jose Calderon	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.17,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.13	-0.01	0.13	-0.01	13	46%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	9	65%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rasual Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Forbes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	31%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.2,-0.26,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	26	45%	-0.05	5	-0.18	4	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.21,0.41,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.18	-0.00	24	55%	0.72	3	-0.48	8	75%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.05	0.03	12	69%	0.20	1	-0.04	11	64%	-0.17
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	11	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.05	4	50%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.08	0.02	6	65%	-0.03	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	14	47%	-0.05	1	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	-0.41	-0.19	-0.24	-0.02	9	11%	-0.23	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	27.5	1.7	28.5	15.6	23.3	2.3	29.9	1.7	20.0	1.6	15.2	167.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -2.7%

TOR +22.7%

UTA -22.5%

TOR +55.3%

UTA -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	UTA	NBA	TOR	UTA	NBA
this game	16.7	14.5	15.6	100.0	94.6	102.8
season	16.5	15.8		98.9	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		104.7	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	14.6	15.1	19.7	17.1	18.1	16.7
UTA	13.1	13.7	16.3	15.6	14.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	64	63	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.34	16	-11	27	16.9	16.5	0.33	14.4	14.7	-0.27
DeMar DeRozan	84	84	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.75	-6	11	-17	17.1	15.7	1.39	14.4	14.7	-0.33
Jose Calderon	65	64	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.58	-1	6	-7	17.5	15.7	1.82	15.0	13.8	1.20
Ed Davis	23	23	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	-4	13	15.2	17.1	-1.95	14.2	14.6	-0.36
Andrea Bargnani	75	75	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.22	-2	7	-9	16.8	16.5	0.29	15.2	13.2	2.00
James Johnson	73	73	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	7	-9	16.8	16.7	0.10	14.9	13.7	1.16
Leandro Barbosa	48	50	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.16	10	-5	15	17.1	16.4	0.64	14.3	14.7	-0.43
Gary Forbes	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	5	-5	5.0	16.9	-11.94	12.0	14.5	-2.55
Jerryd Bayless	44	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.21	6	-1	7	16.1	17.1	-0.97	13.9	14.9	-1.03
Rasual Butler	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	3	-1	3.0	16.8	-13.85	8.0	14.6	-6.56
Amir Johnson	38	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.20	2	3	-1	15.2	17.5	-2.30	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Aaron Gray	28	30	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.08	-14	19	-33	18.2	16.2	1.95	14.0	14.7	-0.68

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	67	65	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.44	14	-19	33	14.1	15.1	-1.02	16.2	17.4	-1.18
Jeremy Evans	13	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-1	-3	13.2	14.7	-1.52	16.9	16.7	0.23
Alec Burks	10	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.03	-3	-2	-1	17.0	14.3	2.75	13.9	17.0	-3.10
CJ Miles	40	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.36	-15	10	-25	14.2	14.6	-0.39	16.5	16.8	-0.28
Enes Kanter	35	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.24	-12	7	-19	14.9	14.3	0.60	16.1	17.0	-0.91
Devin Harris	70	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.47	12	-17	29	14.3	14.8	-0.50	16.8	16.6	0.14
Gordon Hayward	70	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.55	12	-17	29	14.3	14.8	-0.50	17.1	16.0	1.09
Josh Howard	32	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	9	-23	14.1	14.6	-0.53	16.7	16.7	0.02
Earl Watson	42	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	12	-29	14.8	14.3	0.50	16.6	16.8	-0.14
Paul Millsap	93	93	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	-3	1	14.6	13.9	0.73	16.7	17.0	-0.33
Derrick Favors	80	77	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.80	4	-9	13	14.7	13.9	0.83	17.2	15.6	1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.84,0.74,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.24,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.24,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.28,0	89.6%
LAC 120, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.57,0.83,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.16,0.01,0	85.8%
DAL 141, SAC 137	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.68,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.78,0.55,0.74,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.22,0.73,0.54,0.38,0.46,0.69,0.16,0	85.7%