NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	85		Excitement	7.6 [320]		MVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): +10.8%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	2.4 [750]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -38.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	12	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	80%	0.06	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	18	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08	0.06	-0.12	0.02	11	68%	0.08	3	-0.16	3	67%	-0.03
Kevin Seraphin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	11	45%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	7	86%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	12	58%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.02	0.03	12	77%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	12	33%	-0.18
David West	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	16	31%	-0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3,-0.39	-0.39	-0.21	-0.16	0.01	15	22%	-0.27	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	27.3	16.6	21.2	2.5	35.2	127.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -3.1%

IND +5.2%

IND +42.6%

IND +3.4%

IND +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	17.1	15.4	93.4	102.3	104.1
season	15.1	16.1		98.8	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.0	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.2	15.2	15.5	15.5	15.3
IND	17.5	14.8	18.0	18.1	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jan Vesely	7	7	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-7	10	15.1	15.4	-0.21	19.0	16.9	2.11
Martell Webster	41	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-3	2	15.2	15.5	-0.26	17.0	17.1	-0.10
Emeka Okafor	60	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.41	8	-12	20	15.3	15.4	-0.12	17.6	15.9	1.72
Chris Singleton	28	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	0	-4	13.5	16.2	-2.66	16.5	17.3	-0.71
Jannero Pargo	24	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	1	-6	14.5	15.6	-1.09	16.2	17.4	-1.14
Bradley Beal	64	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-7	10	15.5	15.0	0.43	17.6	15.6	2.04
A.J. Price	67	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-5	6	15.6	14.5	1.09	17.4	16.2	1.14
Trevor Ariza	48	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	2	-8	15.3	15.3	-0.02	17.3	16.8	0.52
Kevin Seraphin	31	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.02	-12	8	-20	15.4	15.3	0.12	15.9	17.6	-1.72
Jordan Crawford	29	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	0	-4	15.3	15.4	-0.10	15.4	17.8	-2.39
Trevor Booker	56	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	16.3	13.8	2.46	17.0	17.1	-0.06

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	36	40	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-10	24	18.0	16.4	1.56	14.2	16.2	-1.99
David West	64	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	3	-2	16.7	18.1	-1.40	15.9	13.7	2.27
Paul George	68	70	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.45	1	3	-2	16.6	18.7	-2.15	15.7	14.0	1.68
Gerald Green	51	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-6	16	16.9	17.2	-0.33	14.8	16.2	-1.41
D.J. Augustin	26	27	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	1	2	15.1	17.9	-2.82	15.2	15.4	-0.17
George Hill	62	65	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	1	2	17.6	15.6	1.99	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Roy Hibbert	48	48	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.28	-10	14	-24	17.0	17.2	-0.22	15.0	15.7	-0.72
Ian Mahinmi	26	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	1	2	16.9	17.1	-0.25	16.1	15.0	1.10
Lance Stephenson	54	56	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	9	-14	18.1	15.4	2.68	15.7	14.8	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.53,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.1%
PHI 75, CHH 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.98,1	92.1%
DEN 91, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.97,0.93,1	92.1%