inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 101 Excitement7.5 [313] MVPTracy McGrady (ORL): +27.2%
Orlando Magic 108 Comeback2.4 [476] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -44.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Williams0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.060.001073%0.171-0.03250%-0.01
Mark Blount0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.020.01767%0.061-0.014100%0.02
Tony Battie0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.001100%0.0300.001100%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.01-0.031052%0.041-0.03367%-0.01
Walter McCarty0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adrian Griffin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.06-0.070.021669%0.124-0.163100%0.02
Bryant Stith-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00631%-0.0500.0010%-0.04
Randy Brown-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.10-0.07-0.001040%-0.014-0.1600%0.00
Milt Palacio-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.10-0.060.04736%-0.094-0.1100%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.450,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.34,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.44,-0.44,-0.45-0.22-0.210.011539%-0.275-0.181457%-0.13

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.270.270.150.140.022465%0.311-0.04450%-0.02
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.150.050.01987%0.1900.00683%0.02
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.020.10-0.02867%0.212-0.06580%0.04
John Amaechi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.060.02784%0.163-0.07580%-0.00
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01475%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.010.0030%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.06-0.001136%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.08-0.070.00325%-0.062-0.0920%-0.03
Troy Hudson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.12-0.080.021032%-0.143-0.082100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game253.92.728.015.825.11.833.2360.4
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +42.5%
ORL +4.4%
BOS -18.1%
ORL +28.1%
BOS -6.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSORLNBABOSORLNBA
this game14.915.215.5104.1114.9100.9
season15.114.699.7101.6
opponent15.815.4100.8101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.613.715.214.414.9
ORL14.717.013.615.615.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryant Stith56550.09-0.590.69-0.024-111515.614.11.4316.014.11.90
Tony Battie440.09-0.590.680.003-101313.215.0-1.7721.214.96.31
Adrian Griffin560.08-0.580.650.022-9119.015.3-6.2723.014.78.32
Walter McCarty45-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-779.015.2-6.2012.215.4-3.18
Vitaly Potapenko4947-0.13-0.370.23-0.10-1-6514.615.3-0.7216.414.12.30
Milt Palacio4341-0.20-0.300.11-0.05-5-2-314.415.4-0.9514.815.5-0.68
Randy Brown5858-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.25-2-5314.915.0-0.0415.215.20.03
Mark Blount4038-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.18-92-1116.114.12.0413.616.3-2.79
Eric Williams5854-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.23-92-1114.415.7-1.2915.514.80.76
Paul Pierce8379-0.540.04-0.58-0.25-103-1315.511.73.7814.320.2-5.93
Antoine Walker8583-0.620.12-0.74-0.39-81-915.014.60.4215.016.8-1.82

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Amaechi51510.66-0.160.820.2514-72116.613.53.1414.315.7-1.42
Troy Hudson82860.61-0.110.720.378-1914.619.2-4.6315.212.62.61
Tracy McGrady87900.55-0.050.590.2510-31315.215.4-0.2315.211.93.33
Pat Garrity51520.480.020.470.51-18-915.415.00.3914.615.4-0.84
Monty Williams38370.360.140.220.3025-317.014.02.9613.915.6-1.62
Bo Outlaw65670.020.48-0.45-0.0325-314.716.3-1.5915.114.50.60
Michael Doleac890.010.49-0.490.04-18-913.915.3-1.4613.615.1-1.54
Andrew DeClercq2528-0.010.51-0.51-0.1034-112.816.1-3.2916.114.51.58
Mike Miller5154-0.070.57-0.65-0.04-18-914.316.3-1.9215.714.01.62
Cory Alexander1211-0.110.61-0.72-0.08-18-919.214.64.6312.615.2-2.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.53,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 91, SAS 1020.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,193.0%
POR 101, DAL 1060.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.96,0.98,0.99,193.0%
UTA 97, PHI 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.99,193.0%