inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 104 Excitement4.8 [879] MVPJae Crowder (DAL): +10.2%
Dallas Mavericks 109 Comeback1.2 [1103] LVPDominique Jones (DAL): -9.2%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amir Johnson0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.10.140.010.06786%0.121-0.02786%0.01
Andrea Bargnani0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.050.09-0.000.032053%0.0500.007100%0.03
Alan Anderson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.030.07-0.020.02957%0.0300.005100%0.02
Jose Calderon0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.05-0.020.021055%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ed Davis-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Dominic McGuire-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.011100%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Quincy Acy-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01450%0.002-0.0200%0.00
John Lucas III-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.0130%-0.0200.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.040,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.040.05-0.020.071755%-0.021-0.021080%0.00
Aaron Gray-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00250%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Landry Fields-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.01-0.014100%0.1000.0000%0.00
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.070.070.070.010.001755%0.0700.00650%-0.02
Chris Kaman0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.070.070.050.01-0.011558%0.102-0.04875%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.03-0.041453%0.114-0.07475%0.00
Brandan Wright0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.00957%0.061-0.03367%-0.00
Darren Collison0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.001347%0.0300.00683%0.00
Bernard James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00460%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00642%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Dominique Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.01212%-0.052-0.04425%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.62.036.013.826.12.536.8145.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +37.1%
TOR -4.4%
DAL +14.7%
TOR -4.4%
DAL +7.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDALNBATORDALNBA
this game16.214.815.4110.6118.5104.1
season16.114.5104.4104.3
opponent15.615.3105.0105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.315.016.816.716.2
DAL16.513.213.716.014.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Gray19180.01-0.510.52-0.114-91313.416.9-3.5114.714.8-0.08
Terrence Ross1615-0.01-0.490.47-0.041-6716.916.00.8513.115.1-1.97
Ed Davis1110-0.11-0.390.280.06-61-717.216.01.159.615.4-5.81
Quincy Acy66-0.15-0.350.190.02-61-721.815.86.0517.814.63.26
John Lucas III2827-0.16-0.340.19-0.04-4-1-317.715.52.1514.215.0-0.79
Dominic McGuire2322-0.17-0.330.16-0.263-81117.115.91.2116.014.41.66
Alan Anderson2827-0.22-0.280.06-0.01-72-918.515.23.3715.714.41.30
Andrea Bargnani7776-0.23-0.270.03-0.447-121915.618.8-3.2415.212.72.54
Jonas Valanciunas2021-0.24-0.260.010.14-138-2117.015.91.0513.715.1-1.45
Amir Johnson5553-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.384-91316.815.21.6115.214.21.09
DeMar DeRozan8179-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.425-101515.321.6-6.3215.112.82.26
Landry Fields4041-0.32-0.18-0.150.03-127-1915.516.7-1.2113.515.8-2.34
Jose Calderon6665-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.31-1-4315.517.7-2.1515.014.20.79

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
O.J. Mayo73760.470.030.450.1810-51513.818.6-4.8516.713.82.96
Chris Kaman65660.350.150.190.3214-313.916.8-2.8816.216.10.09
Brandan Wright58580.330.170.170.3305-514.115.9-1.8415.517.3-1.80
Bernard James35350.320.180.14-0.0914-92315.314.50.8116.715.80.87
Darren Collison68700.290.210.090.35-27-915.313.32.0215.418.5-3.07
Jae Crowder56560.260.240.010.2314-314.016.0-1.9515.417.3-1.88
Dominique Jones24240.210.29-0.090.007-2913.315.3-2.0218.515.43.07
Vince Carter47490.200.30-0.100.29-38-1115.913.62.2316.415.90.54
Troy Murphy25270.040.46-0.420.10-27-918.013.64.4716.815.90.90
Dahntay Jones990.030.47-0.440.06-16-721.414.17.3814.916.3-1.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 80, PHI 970.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,196.3%
DET 98, NJN 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
SAC 96, DAL 1040.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.95,196.2%