NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	9.2 [113]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (MIL): +54.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	2.9 [616]		LVP	CJ Miles (CLE): -19.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,-0.02,-0.03,-0.2,-0.21,0.18	0.05	0.15	0.02	18	61%	0.39	4	-0.21	8	87%	0.04
Anderson Varejao	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.05	0.02	13	77%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	5	73%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Daniel Gibson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Alonzo Gee	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.07	0.01	11	69%	0.12	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Dion Waiters	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	12	46%	0.00	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
CJ Miles	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.06	-0.02	6	0%	-0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55	0.55	0.29	0.27	0.01	12	100%	0.57	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.18	-0.00	9	85%	0.33	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.27	0.27	-0.07	0.34	0.01	13	46%	0.38	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.00	10	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	8	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.15,-0.21,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	20	48%	0.00	5	-0.16	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	4.6	28.2	15.4	24.3	2.5	35.7	134.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +65.1%

CLE -1.6%

CLE -18.3%

MIL +6.3%

CLE -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	14.1	13.7	15.4	98.1	101.9	104.1
season	15.5	14.7		102.5	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.9	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	15.4	13.4	13.6	14.1
MIL	13.4	13.4	13.3	14.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	62	63	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.41	13	-16	29	14.1	14.1	0.03	14.7	12.0	2.68
Anderson Varejao	80	79	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.48	15	-18	33	13.5	16.2	-2.64	13.6	14.0	-0.35
Kyrie Irving	73	72	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.47	13	-16	29	13.4	15.9	-2.57	13.9	13.3	0.62
Alonzo Gee	81	81	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.55	11	-14	25	13.6	15.9	-2.28	13.2	15.6	-2.42
Donald Sloan	27	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	11	-25	15.9	13.5	2.32	12.6	14.1	-1.54
CJ Miles	30	28	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	0.19	-16	13	-29	16.4	13.2	3.18	14.4	13.4	0.92
Dion Waiters	65	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.70	14	-17	31	13.0	16.1	-3.11	14.4	12.5	1.85
Luke Walton	15	15	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	13	-29	16.0	13.8	2.18	11.7	14.0	-2.29
Tyler Zeller	44	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	15	-33	15.6	13.0	2.56	13.1	14.1	-1.06
Daniel Gibson	43	43	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.02	-17	14	-31	14.4	13.9	0.52	13.5	13.8	-0.31

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	76	76	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.26	24	-21	45	13.0	15.5	-2.48	14.5	13.2	1.26
Larry Sanders	63	64	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.24	19	-16	35	13.4	14.2	-0.83	14.7	13.2	1.48
Beno Udrih	35	34	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-17	37	13.7	13.7	-0.05	16.0	13.2	2.77
Ersan Ilyasova	58	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.58	-7	10	-17	13.6	13.8	-0.12	13.7	14.7	-1.03
Doron Lamb	11	12	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	-10	23	11.4	14.0	-2.60	17.1	13.7	3.33
Ekpe Udoh	50	49	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	-5	13	13.9	13.5	0.33	13.9	14.3	-0.45
Brandon Jennings	79	81	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.54	-14	17	-31	14.3	11.6	2.69	13.7	15.7	-2.00
Monta Ellis	81	81	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.47	-13	16	-29	13.4	14.7	-1.32	13.4	16.9	-3.51
Joel Przybilla	13	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.03	-4	7	-11	14.8	13.5	1.32	12.2	14.4	-2.13
Samuel Dalembert	22	23	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	13	-23	13.7	13.7	-0.01	15.2	13.8	1.33
Tobias Harris	27	28	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	0.16	-21	24	-45	15.5	13.0	2.48	13.2	14.5	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.55,0.64,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 82, PHX 90	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.94,1,1	91.7%
POR 84, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.64,0.9,1,1	90.2%
NYK 109, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.54,0.86,0.9,1	89.8%