NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	82		Excitement	7.7 [308]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +32.3%
Phoenix Suns	90		Comeback	3.2 [687]		LVP	Raja Bell (PHX): -21.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	63%	0.16	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	9	50%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Mike James	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	13	48%	0.04	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	11	40%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.15	-0.03	23	45%	0.03	2	-0.18	5	60%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32	0.32	0.16	0.15	-0.01	18	70%	0.36	1	-0.03	4	50%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	12	58%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	7	79%	0.18	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.05	0.02	19	55%	0.13	8	-0.19	4	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	7	22%	-0.09	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.07	0.00	10	10%	-0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	27.3	15.3	23.5	2.5	28.6	123.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +17.7%

PHX +6.9%

PHX +17.7%

PHX +6.2%

PHX +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHX	NBA	TOR	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	13.6	15.6	84.5	93.8	104.4
season	15.6	13.8		107.3	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		105.8	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	16.9	16.2	16.8	16.2
PHX	13.2	14.4	13.8	13.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	42	41	0.45	-0.94	1.39	-0.05	17	-25	42	16.3	16.1	0.20	13.7	13.6	0.04
Rafael Araujo	23	23	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.10	10	-18	28	15.9	16.3	-0.43	14.1	13.5	0.59
Charlie Villanueva	51	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.18	-13	5	-18	16.2	16.2	0.04	13.9	13.4	0.45
Joey Graham	48	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	8	-24	16.0	16.3	-0.31	13.3	14.0	-0.74
Jalen Rose	65	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-7	6	16.1	16.3	-0.22	13.9	13.0	0.89
Mike James	89	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-5	2	16.2	16.0	0.21	13.3	16.9	-3.53
Chris Bosh	74	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-7	6	16.3	15.9	0.43	13.6	13.8	-0.22
Matt Bonner	46	45	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	4	-16	16.2	16.2	-0.04	13.2	14.0	-0.74
Jose Calderon	47	47	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.23	-21	13	-34	16.3	16.1	0.24	14.1	13.1	1.01

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	24	24	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-2	12	13.2	13.8	-0.63	16.8	16.0	0.85
Shawn Marion	83	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	1	6	13.8	12.5	1.27	16.0	17.2	-1.19
Jim Jackson	68	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	3	2	14.1	12.6	1.45	16.3	16.0	0.27
Steve Nash	84	85	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	8	-8	13.4	15.4	-2.04	16.2	16.2	-0.06
Raja Bell	68	67	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	8	-8	13.3	14.4	-1.07	16.0	16.6	-0.54
Eddie House	32	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	-2	12	14.2	13.4	0.78	16.7	15.9	0.79
James Jones	36	35	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	-1	10	13.6	13.7	-0.13	15.9	16.4	-0.49
Boris Diaw	49	51	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.18	13	-5	18	13.9	13.4	0.45	16.2	16.2	0.04
Kurt Thomas	36	36	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.10	-14	22	-36	13.2	13.9	-0.62	16.1	16.2	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 106, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.76,0.85,1	92.4%
DET 96, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.86,0.85,1	91.9%
PHI 82, SAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.47,0.34,0.4,0.53,0.89,0.97,1,1	91.7%