inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 70 Excitement1.9 [1049] MVPMaurice Evans (WAS): +5.7%
Washington Wizards 104 Comeback1.3 [878] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -7.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.03437%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Mike Miller-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00480%0.023-0.02250%-0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01550%-0.0000.002100%-0.00
Joel Anthony-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Norris Cole-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.001064%0.044-0.062100%0.01
James Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.02940%-0.001-0.01250%0.00
Ronny Turiaf-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.000.02262%-0.001-0.02475%-0.00
Juwan Howard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.120.00-0.08714%-0.0420.0000%0.00
Eddy Curry-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.02750%-0.024-0.02667%-0.01
Terrel Harris-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.130.00-0.06927%-0.053-0.02475%0.01
Mario Chalmers-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.00940%-0.053-0.032100%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.000.041362%0.0600.00367%0.00
John Wall0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.00-0.06839%0.032-0.00250%-0.01
Chris Singleton0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.04844%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.06779%0.072-0.04560%-0.02
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.070.00-0.082100%0.046-0.022100%0.01
Jan Vesely0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.03769%0.021-0.01250%-0.00
Kevin Seraphin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.051062%0.001-0.00475%-0.01
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Morris Almond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.04636%-0.0010.00250%0.00
James Singleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01450%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Cartier Martin0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.04860%0.011-0.02450%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.527.415.523.62.428.6124.1
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +34.0%
WAS +1.2%
WAS +6.6%
WAS +8.9%
MIA -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game17.113.015.673.7108.3102.8
season15.515.0105.699.5
opponent15.715.8104.698.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.020.016.116.717.1
WAS12.812.213.913.313.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Anthony1010-0.10-0.400.310.02-4-302620.216.83.4214.712.81.85
Mike Miller3435-0.13-0.370.240.13-9-251616.217.7-1.4513.912.51.37
Mario Chalmers3435-0.13-0.370.240.19-11-231216.217.7-1.4513.912.51.37
Udonis Haslem3939-0.13-0.370.230.19-11-231216.817.4-0.6213.912.51.44
Shane Battier3838-0.13-0.370.230.19-11-231216.317.7-1.4113.712.61.06
Ronny Turiaf3736-0.15-0.350.210.15-10-241416.717.4-0.7113.512.80.73
Eddy Curry4850-0.26-0.24-0.010.33-20-14-616.817.4-0.6112.413.8-1.38
James Jones5758-0.37-0.13-0.230.31-23-11-1217.716.31.4112.613.7-1.06
Juwan Howard5657-0.37-0.13-0.230.31-23-11-1217.416.80.6212.513.9-1.44
Norris Cole6161-0.37-0.13-0.240.31-23-11-1217.716.21.4512.513.9-1.37
Terrel Harris6161-0.37-0.13-0.240.36-25-9-1617.716.21.4512.513.9-1.37

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Morris Almond53510.390.110.27-0.3224101412.413.8-1.3617.616.60.93
Nene36360.280.220.07-0.101321-813.912.51.4417.716.80.90
Maurice Evans46440.280.220.06-0.281915412.713.4-0.6618.316.12.20
Shelvin Mack44450.280.220.06-0.161519-412.913.1-0.2017.616.80.80
James Singleton42420.280.220.06-0.251816213.113.00.1817.716.70.99
Chris Singleton50510.220.28-0.06-0.221519-413.412.70.6616.118.3-2.20
John Wall52500.220.28-0.06-0.341915413.112.90.2016.817.6-0.80
Jan Vesely49480.220.28-0.06-0.281717012.813.3-0.5016.417.9-1.50
Kevin Seraphin51500.220.28-0.06-0.251618-212.913.2-0.2617.117.2-0.12
Cartier Martin43440.110.39-0.27-0.181024-1413.812.41.3616.617.6-0.93
Brian Cook14140.000.50-0.50-0.12430-2611.713.3-1.5516.817.2-0.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 65, LAL 870.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
TOR 100, GSW 1380.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
MIL 101, WAS 1260.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%