NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	5.5 [575]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +14.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	93		Comeback	1.4 [949]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): -11.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	13	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
JJ Hickson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	16	59%	0.13	4	-0.11	7	71%	-0.02
Craig Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jonny Flynn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nolan Smith	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	40%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	21%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05
Wesley Matthews	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	0.00	-0.10	0.02	17	47%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.01	16	62%	0.16	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	14	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Josh Selby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lester Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.04	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	30.0	15.8	24.6	2.3	33.5	132.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +47.7%

POR -10.9%

POR -0.4%

MEM +11.4%

MEM +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	16.6	15.6	101.1	103.3	102.8
season	15.7	15.6		104.1	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		100.1	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.0	18.6	14.6	13.1	15.7
MEM	16.5	15.7	16.7	17.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonny Flynn	27	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-3	2	15.6	15.8	-0.21	16.2	16.8	-0.64
Craig Smith	2	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-1	-2	25.5	15.5	9.99	14.5	16.7	-2.16
Hasheem Thabeet	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	3	-10	18.2	14.2	4.07	17.5	16.1	1.48
Kurt Thomas	31	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	1	-6	15.0	16.2	-1.19	15.0	17.5	-2.50
JJ Hickson	69	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.41	4	-8	12	15.6	16.1	-0.47	16.8	15.7	1.12
Jamal Crawford	59	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-7	10	14.7	17.8	-3.12	16.7	16.5	0.22
Nolan Smith	63	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-2	0	15.8	15.6	0.25	17.0	15.5	1.51
Wesley Matthews	77	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-4	4	15.5	17.2	-1.65	16.7	15.8	0.91
Luke Babbitt	78	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	5	-14	15.8	15.5	0.27	16.4	18.4	-2.00

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	40	37	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.19	15	-11	26	16.1	17.0	-0.97	17.0	14.8	2.22
Rudy Gay	63	60	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	0	4	16.8	16.3	0.50	15.7	15.9	-0.17
Marc Gasol	54	55	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	-4	12	17.3	15.6	1.62	15.9	15.5	0.36
Mike Conley	55	54	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	2	0	17.6	15.0	2.64	15.9	15.6	0.29
Hamed Haddadi	20	17	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	-3	10	14.3	17.3	-2.97	16.9	15.5	1.49
Dante Cunningham	37	37	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	6	-8	15.1	17.6	-2.51	15.1	16.2	-1.04
O.J. Mayo	54	54	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	9	-14	16.5	16.8	-0.37	14.6	17.5	-2.87
Marreese Speights	59	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	5	-6	16.8	16.2	0.69	16.4	14.6	1.79
Josh Selby	18	18	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	1	2	16.0	16.8	-0.76	17.3	15.3	2.00
Quincy Pondexter	27	28	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	4	-4	16.3	16.8	-0.50	15.9	15.7	0.17
Gilbert Arenas	15	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	7	-10	15.7	16.8	-1.05	14.3	16.0	-1.69
Lester Hudson	8	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	12	-20	22.7	16.0	6.74	10.4	16.3	-5.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.9%
CLE 72, NOH 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	94.6%
WAS 96, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.6%