NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	109		Excitement	1.5 [584]		MVP	David West (IND): +17.0%
Indiana Pacers	118		Comeback	1.7 [715]		LVP	Monta Ellis (MIL): -12.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	12	70%	0.17	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.08	11	70%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	15	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	23	48%	0.04	5	-0.12	10	100%	0.03
Monta Ellis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	14	39%	-0.08	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	14	66%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.01	0.03	12	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	20	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	11	100%	0.04
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.02	5	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	11	56%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	48%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.3	16.7	24.1	2.5	44.6	143.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +36.4%

MIL -7.5%

IND +8.8%

IND +11.0%

IND +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	15.2	15.6	111.2	120.4	102.8
season	14.6	15.7		103.8	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	15.6	13.5	13.0	14.2
IND	12.9	15.7	15.8	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	39	39	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.33	18	-27	45	13.2	14.9	-1.70	15.5	15.0	0.46
Beno Udrih	33	35	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.19	11	-20	31	13.2	14.7	-1.50	16.0	14.7	1.27
Larry Sanders	35	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.16	5	-14	19	13.6	14.5	-0.90	16.5	14.4	2.08
Mike Dunleavy	66	65	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.35	10	-19	29	13.6	15.5	-1.97	15.6	14.4	1.14
Carlos Delfino	32	33	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.12	-19	10	-29	15.5	13.6	1.97	14.4	15.6	-1.14
Monta Ellis	84	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	2	-13	14.7	11.3	3.40	15.5	13.6	1.87
Luc Mbah a Moute	69	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.02	-18	9	-27	14.5	13.5	0.98	14.9	15.9	-0.98
Drew Gooden	53	53	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.04	-23	14	-37	15.0	13.3	1.65	14.5	16.0	-1.55
Brandon Jennings	79	78	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.12	-18	9	-27	14.1	14.6	-0.53	14.5	17.8	-3.29

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	80	79	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.07	23	-14	37	14.8	16.9	-2.09	14.1	14.8	-0.79
Danny Granger	73	72	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.16	17	-8	25	15.0	15.6	-0.56	14.6	13.2	1.43
David West	65	65	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.03	20	-11	31	15.2	15.2	-0.09	14.6	13.3	1.31
Paul George	49	51	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-8	25	14.4	16.0	-1.59	14.8	13.6	1.25
Roy Hibbert	47	48	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-5	19	14.3	16.0	-1.70	14.9	13.5	1.40
Leandro Barbosa	51	50	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	16	-23	15.4	14.9	0.52	13.3	15.1	-1.80
Lou Amundson	47	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	16	-23	16.1	14.4	1.69	13.6	14.8	-1.20
Tyler Hansbrough	35	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	19	-29	16.0	14.7	1.27	13.6	14.5	-0.90
Dahntay Jones	25	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	17	-25	15.6	15.0	0.56	13.2	14.6	-1.43
A.J. Price	18	19	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.16	-14	23	-37	16.9	14.8	2.09	14.8	14.1	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.99,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 81, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.7%
NOH 87, DAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.9%
CHA 86, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%