NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	81		Excitement	4.5 [903]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +8.2%
Indiana Pacers	92		Comeback	1.2 [947]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -20.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	19	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dan Langhi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	11	60%	0.07	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	19	54%	0.07	7	-0.17	3	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	19	24%	-0.16	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.03	16	63%	0.09	2	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	11	71%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	67%	0.10	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	5	30%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	11	38%	-0.03	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	-0.03	5	25%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.0	30.1	17.7	28.7	2.8	30.5	139.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +42.1%

PHX -3.5%

IND +3.5%

IND +8.6%

PHX -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	15.5	87.1	97.9	101.6
season	15.0	15.4		101.1	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		99.2	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.5	16.0	15.0	12.7	15.1
IND	12.9	12.8	18.6	19.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	37	37	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.29	12	-23	35	14.8	15.4	-0.57	17.4	14.5	2.86
Dan Langhi	5	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-9	7	20.6	14.8	5.78	17.0	15.6	1.39
Scott Williams	17	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-3	-5	14.9	15.2	-0.30	12.5	16.4	-3.92
Bo Outlaw	44	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-5	-1	16.2	14.1	2.13	14.9	16.4	-1.47
Jake Voskuhl	31	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-2	-7	15.9	14.7	1.21	14.8	16.1	-1.29
Stephon Marbury	64	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-7	3	14.6	16.3	-1.72	16.6	13.4	3.23
Joe Johnson	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.24	-2	-9	7	15.0	15.5	-0.46	16.8	12.3	4.48
Amar'e Stoudemire	67	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-6	1	14.7	16.2	-1.53	16.1	14.5	1.56
Shawn Marion	88	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	-2	-7	14.8	20.6	-5.78	15.6	17.0	-1.39
Anfernee Hardaway	42	41	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.11	-22	11	-33	15.5	14.9	0.59	12.8	17.9	-5.08

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	70	71	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.01	20	-9	29	15.3	16.6	-1.28	15.2	15.0	0.17
Metta World Peace	84	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-4	19	16.0	12.8	3.21	15.2	14.3	0.93
Jermaine O'Neal	67	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-5	21	15.2	16.8	-1.55	15.8	13.6	2.23
Brad Miller	70	71	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.02	19	-8	27	15.2	17.1	-1.90	14.8	16.3	-1.50
Reggie Miller	63	61	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.05	21	-10	31	15.0	17.0	-2.03	14.9	15.5	-0.57
Jonathan Bender	43	42	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.23	-8	19	-27	17.7	13.9	3.82	13.4	16.6	-3.19
Al Harrington	28	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	18	-25	17.1	15.1	2.05	16.3	14.6	1.72
Jeff Foster	10	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	15	-19	12.8	16.0	-3.21	14.3	15.2	-0.93
Tim Hardaway	24	22	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.17	-9	20	-29	16.6	15.3	1.28	15.0	15.2	-0.17
Austin Croshere	11	11	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	19	-27	13.5	16.0	-2.41	18.1	14.7	3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, UTA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NOP 92, SAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.0%
POR 98, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%