NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	110		Excitement	6.7 [370]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +37.8%
Dallas Mavericks	117		Comeback	4.4 [349]		LVP	Goran Dragic (HOU): -7.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	11	64%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Chase Budinger	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	10	67%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	58%	0.11	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	13	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Courtney Lee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.02	14	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08	0.03	-0.08	0.03	12	74%	0.10	6	-0.18	3	67%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.35,0.38	0.38	0.27	0.18	0.07	18	73%	0.38	0	0.00	12	100%	0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	18	55%	0.20	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	11	70%	0.19	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.00	7	86%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	58%	0.04	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	27.8	14.8	25.2	2.5	36.2	134.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +32.9%

DAL +8.6%

DAL +7.4%

HOU -1.2%

DAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.4	15.6	118.3	127.2	102.8
season	15.4	15.5		103.5	101.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		100.9	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.9	15.6	15.0	15.9	14.8
DAL	14.8	16.4	17.0	17.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	77	77	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.19	7	-14	21	13.7	19.9	-6.17	16.2	17.3	-1.14
Luis Scola	60	59	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-8	9	13.9	16.3	-2.43	16.4	16.3	0.12
Samuel Dalembert	11	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-3	-1	19.4	14.1	5.22	14.8	16.6	-1.77
Goran Dragic	64	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.40	9	-16	25	13.6	17.3	-3.70	16.6	15.9	0.70
Chandler Parsons	61	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-1	-5	15.0	14.3	0.74	16.2	16.8	-0.61
Marcus Camby	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-7	7	14.6	15.4	-0.85	17.1	14.0	3.15
Kyle Lowry	36	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	10	-27	15.7	14.2	1.52	15.2	17.1	-1.91
Patrick Patterson	39	38	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	4	-15	16.1	13.8	2.22	16.9	16.0	0.92
Chase Budinger	46	45	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.25	-14	7	-21	16.3	13.2	3.09	16.3	16.4	-0.09

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	55	55	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.24	20	-13	33	16.6	16.1	0.46	15.3	14.0	1.34
Dirk Nowitzki	74	74	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.24	17	-10	27	16.0	17.8	-1.81	15.4	12.2	3.27
Jason Terry	61	61	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.31	14	-7	21	16.9	15.3	1.60	14.9	14.6	0.31
Brandan Wright	39	38	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	0	7	17.3	15.7	1.61	14.7	14.8	-0.09
Jason Kidd	68	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	6	-5	16.6	15.8	0.74	14.1	16.7	-2.57
Ian Mahinmi	21	24	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.12	9	-2	11	15.2	16.7	-1.54	16.7	14.1	2.68
Rodrigue Beaubois	17	19	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	2	3	14.4	16.8	-2.49	16.8	14.2	2.55
Brendan Haywood	32	30	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.05	-9	16	-25	16.0	16.6	-0.54	13.7	15.3	-1.57
Delonte West	42	42	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.02	-11	18	-29	16.7	16.1	0.53	14.0	15.4	-1.44
Shawn Marion	51	53	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	0.06	-18	25	-43	16.2	16.6	-0.33	13.6	16.2	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 85, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.3%
NYK 106, CLE 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	92.0%
OKC 98, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.37,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.0%